This Saturday at the Amex Stadium, Brighton will host Tottenham Hotspur in what promises to be one of the most entertaining fixtures of the weekend.

Brighton come into this match after a disappointing 2-1 loss away to Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium. Kaoru Mitoma scored Brighton’s only goal with a well-timed header, assisted brilliantly by Yankuba Minteh, but Fabian Hürzeler’s side couldn’t find the equalizer despite dominating possession late in the game. Brighton have been inconsistent this season, with just one league win so far – a massive 2-1 victory against Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City at the Amex. That result showed what they’re capable of, but they need to start stringing results together to climb the table.

For Tottenham, Thomas Frank is slowly putting his stamp on this Spurs side. Their confidence will be boosted after a narrow 1-0 win over Villarreal in their first-ever UEFA Champions League match under Frank, a game decided by a bizarre own goal from Villarreal’s goalkeeper. Spurs have been creating chances but still look like a team finding balance between attack and defense under their new manager.

Brighton vs Spurs – Odds Analysis

Brighton: 2.38 | 11/8
Spurs: 3.2 | 11/5
Draw: 3.7 | 11/4

Brighton

Brighton are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, with Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma providing width and attacking threat. However, their midfield took a hit with young English defensive midfielder Jack Hinshelwood ruled out for 5–6 weeks due to injury. That absence could hurt Brighton’s ball recovery and transitions. Hürzeler will likely turn to the experienced James Milner alongside Carlos Baleba as the double pivot — a pairing that might not have the same defensive bite.

Brighton did the double over Spurs last season (home and away wins), so psychologically they know they can cause them problems. But they must improve defensively — they’ve conceded goals in each of their last 5 games, and Spurs’ front three will test them.

Tottenham

Tottenham are thriving under Thomas Frank. His 4-3-3 system is getting the best out of the squad — high pressing, sharp transitions, and more control in midfield. The new signings (Mathys Tel, Xavi Simons, Kolo Muani) have blended in quickly, giving Spurs extra dynamism and flexibility in attack. After their midweek 1-0 Champions League win over Villarreal, the confidence is high, and they’ll be eager to keep momentum going.

Chances of Winning %

Brighton42

Over/Under Goals

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.75, while Over 1.5 Goals sits at 1.24, showing bookmakers expect goals in this fixture.

Both teams play an attacking, front-foot style that naturally creates open spaces — Brighton under Fabian Hürzeler focus on quick ball circulation and wing play through Mitoma and Minteh, while Spurs under Thomas Frank are more tactically balanced but still dangerous in transitions.

The difference is Spurs are no longer the chaotic, all-out-attack side we saw under Ange Postecoglou. Frank’s approach is more structured defensively, meaning Spurs are less likely to be caught wide open — but Brighton’s defense has been leaky, conceding in every game so far this season.

This suggests a high likelihood of goals, especially if Brighton commit bodies forward at home. A scenario like 2-1 or 2-2 feels very realistic. Over 2.5 goals looks like strong value, but if you want to be safer, Over 1.5 goals is almost certain barring a complete defensive masterclass from Spurs.

Anytime Goalscorer

For Brighton, Kaoru Mitoma (4.00) and Yankuba Minteh (4.20) are the clear attacking threats. Both have been lively this season, regularly getting into dangerous areas, and Mitoma already has goals to his name. If Brighton score, there’s a good chance one of these two is involved — either scoring or assisting.

For Spurs, Brennan Johnson (4.00) and Richarlison (3.10) are the more reliable options, with new signing Xavi Simons (4.40) and Kolo Muani (3.05) still settling into the system. Thomas Frank’s Spurs are more structured, so we may not see a flurry of individual chances like under Ange, which makes this market riskier.

Recommendation:
Skip this market for safe betting. The odds are tempting, but the unpredictability of scorers — especially with Spurs still rotating new players — makes this a gamble. If you’ve already made profit earlier in the day and want to take a fun punt, you can go for either of these players

BTTS – Both Team to Score

Bookmakers have priced BTTS – Yes at 1.64 and No at 2.50, showing strong confidence that both sides will find the net. Brighton have conceded in every game this season, and with their attacking style, they also create plenty of chances — Mitoma and Minteh being the key threats. Spurs under Thomas Frank are more defensively disciplined but still have enough attacking quality (Brennan Johnson, Richarlison, Kolo Muani) to score against a Brighton defense that leaves spaces.

Recommendation:
BTTS – Yes is a strong pick here. If you want more value, wait for in-play odds to rise, especially if the game starts slow and remains 0-0 after 10–15 minutes.

Brighton vs Spurs Head-to-Head Facts

Head-to-Head Totals
- Out of ~41 past meetings, Tottenham have won 21, Brighton 12, and 8 have been draws. Spurs have the edge historically.
- Only one match in that history ended 0–0. Almost always there are goals.
Goals in Recent Meetings
- Brighton vs Spurs fixtures often see Over 2.5 goals: in many recent games both teams scored, and multiple matches ended with scores like 3-2, 4-2.
- Average goals per game in their meetings tends to be getting close to ~2.6–2.9.
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
- In about half of their recent matchups, both teams have scored. Not overwhelming but fairly regular
- Brighton often score at home against Spurs: Brighton have scored in many home games vs Spurs.
Brighton Home
- Brighton have managed to score in each of their last ~17 Premier League home games.
- But also, they have conceded in many of those home games — defensive gaps show.
Spurs Away
- Spurs tend to score away vs Brighton. They have failed to score only rarely in recent away games vs them.

My Picks

Safest Bet: Over 1.5 Goals – very high chance given both teams score and concede regularly.
BTTS (Both Teams to Score): 80% chance – Brighton’s home form + Spurs’ attacking options make BTTS very likely.
Over 2.5 Goals: 🎯 Good Value – both teams play attacking football, and history supports 3+ goals in this fixture.

Strategy Tip: If the match stays 0-0 at halftime, wait for live odds to rise and take Over 1.5 or even Over 2.5 for better value.

Final Verdict

This is set up to be an open, attacking game where both teams will likely get on the scoresheet. Brighton’s defensive vulnerabilities and Spurs’ balanced but dangerous attack make BTTS (Yes) the standout pick. Over 1.5 goals is the safest play, while Over 2.5 goals has strong potential for higher returns. If the first half stays quiet, in-play bettors can grab even better odds for these markets. Expect an entertaining match with chances at both ends.