The last time Arsenal visited Fulham at Craven Cottage, the match ended in a tight 1-1 draw, with Raul Jiménez giving Fulham the lead before William Saliba equalised for the Gunners in the second half. Arsenal come into this game with momentum after a controlled 2-0 win over West Ham United, while Fulham are still licking their wounds from a 3-1 defeat to AFC Bournemouth at the Vitality.
Recent head-to-head history gives Arsenal the upper hand — they’ve dominated this fixture in recent seasons, including a 2-1 home win in their last meeting. However, Craven Cottage has often proved a tricky ground, with Fulham known to frustrate big teams at home.
Arsenal’s defense has been rock solid this season, while Fulham’s backline has been inconsistent, especially against top-six opposition. If Arsenal start strong with their usual high press and quick transitions, it’s tough to see Fulham keeping a clean sheet. Still, Fulham’s home support can’t be underestimated, and an early goal could make this match cagey.
👉 This one could be tight, but Arsenal’s form makes them clear favourites. A low-scoring Arsenal win or a narrow draw seems the most likely outcomes.
Odds Analysis
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Fulham | 6.4 |
| Draw | 4.5 |
| Arsenal | 1.6 |
According to the bookmakers, Arsenal are strong favourites to win this tie with odds of 1.60, while Fulham stand at 6.40 and a draw at 4.50. However, the statistics tell a slightly different story — in the last five meetings, Arsenal have dropped points in three of them, including two draws at Craven Cottage. This suggests that while Arsenal are the stronger side on paper, Fulham’s home advantage could make things tricky for Mikel Arteta’s men. Arsenal’s attacking depth and defensive solidity still make them the likely winners, but punters should be cautious — especially since Fulham have a history of frustrating Arsenal in tight, low-scoring fixtures at home.
⚽ Last 5 Head-to-Head Results – Fulham vs Arsenal
| Scoreline |
|---|
| Arsenal 2 – 1 Fulham |
| Fulham 1 – 1 Arsenal |
| Fulham 2 – 1 Arsenal |
| Arsenal 2 – 2 Fulham |
| Fulham 0 – 3 Arsenal |
Chances of Winning %
Over/Under Goals
Fulham have had a mixed start this season — scoring 8 goals but conceding 11, which reflects their tendency to both attack and leave spaces at the back. Arsenal, meanwhile, continue their strong form under Arteta, having scored 14 goals (second-most in the league behind Manchester City) and conceded just 3, the fewest by any team so far. Looking at history, none of the last 18 head-to-head clashes between Fulham and Arsenal have ended goalless, proving this fixture consistently produces goals. Interestingly, the last time a 1-0 result occurred was back in 2013, when Arsenal edged out Fulham — and Mikel Arteta himself featured in midfield that day. Given both teams’ current form and historical goal patterns, Over 1.5 goals looks the safest bet, with a fair chance of it even going Over 2.5 if Arsenal find their rhythm early.
Anytime Goalscorer
For Arsenal, Viktor Gyökeres has been steadily adapting to the Premier League and has already netted 3 goals this season, showing his ability to convert chances in tight spaces and deliver when it matters. His movement and link-up play make him a constant threat, especially against a Fulham defense that has struggled for consistency. On the other hand, Fulham’s goals have been spread across multiple players, with no standout scorer — each of their attacking options has just one goal so far, making it difficult to predict a clear goalscorer from their side. Based on form and attacking quality, Gyökeres stands out as the most likely player to score anytime in this fixture.
| Player | G/A Probability |
|---|---|
| Viktor Gyökeres | 74% |
| Bukayo Saka | 71% |
| Alex Iwobi | 58% |
BTTS
| Market Option | Odds |
|---|---|
| BTTS – Yes | 2.04 |
| BTTS – No | 1.92 |
BTTS Yes is priced at 2.04, while No is at 1.92, showing that bookmakers see this market as finely balanced. However, if we look at the last five head-to-head meetings between Fulham and Arsenal, both sides have scored in every single game. Fulham tend to find the net at home, while Arsenal’s attacking power under Mikel Arteta makes them one of the most consistent scoring sides in the league. Based on this, BTTS – Yes looks like a strong possibility in this fixture despite the odds being close.
| Market | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS – Yes | 68% |
| BTTS – No | 32% |
✅ Verdict: BTTS Yes is statistically stronger considering the head-to-head history, but Arsenal’s solid backline this season keeps a small chance of a “No” outcome alive.
Head-to-Head Facts
| Stat Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 36 |
| Arsenal Wins | 24 |
| Fulham Wins | 4 |
| Draws | 8 |
| Meetings at Craven Cottage | 18 |
| Fulham Home Wins | 4 |
| Arsenal Away Wins | 12 |
| Draws at Craven Cottage | 2 |
| Average Goals per Match | 2.94 |
| Over 2.5 Goals Occurred | ~70–80% of Matches |
| BTTS (Both Teams Scored) | Frequent in Most Meetings |
Crazy Historical Stats
Rare Premier League Blowout
One of Arsenal’s biggest wins vs Fulham came on October 7, 2018 when Arsenal beat Fulham 5-1 away at Craven Cottage. A dominating performance with several goals built around fluid movement and attacking pressure. My Football Facts+1
Probability Table
| Outcome / Event | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | 99% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 96% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 87% |
| Viktor Gyökeres G/A | 74% |
| Bukayo Saka G/A | 71% |
My Picks
Over 1.5 Goals
Btts – Yes
