Coming from a hard-fought 0–1 away win at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Chelsea will host struggling side Wolves at Stamford Bridge. It’s been a nightmare start for Wolves, sitting rock-bottom of the Premier League table with just two points so far this season. After their 3–0 defeat to Fulham at Craven Cottage, the club sacked manager Vítor Pereira and are currently in search of a replacement.
Names such as Rob Edwards, Gary O’Neil, Rui Borges, and even Erik ten Hag have been linked, though nothing official has been confirmed yet. If a new manager is appointed before Saturday’s clash, he’ll have a tough task facing a rejuvenated Chelsea side that’s finding rhythm and confidence under their current setup.
Odds Analysis
The odds heavily favor Chelsea, and rightly so — Wolves are in complete disarray both on and off the pitch. With their poor form, defensive fragility, and managerial instability, it’s hard to see them taking even a point here. Chelsea, on the other hand, are building momentum and could dominate this tie with a 3–4 goal margin if Wolves fail to tighten their backline and simply sit deep for damage control.
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chelsea Win | 1.37 |
| Draw | 5.60 |
| Wolves Win | 9.80 |
Chances of Winning %
Over/Under Goals
This fixture has the potential to be a goal fest. Chelsea have been ruthless in attack this season, sitting joint-second in total goals scored (18), while Wolves have been a defensive disaster — conceding 22 goals, the highest in the league so far. The last five meetings between these two sides have all seen Over 2.5 goals, including an insane 6–2 victory for Chelsea at Molineux in August 2024.
Given Wolves’ low confidence and Chelsea’s attacking momentum, Over 1.5 goals is almost guaranteed, and Over 2.5 goals remains a solid choice for bettors. Those looking for higher returns can even test Over 3.5 or Over 4.5, as this match could easily open up if Wolves crumble early at the Bridge.
| Market | Historical Trend |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | 96% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 73% |
Anytime Goalscorer
Chelsea’s attack looks far more reliable and structured compared to Wolves’ scattered frontline. João Pedro, Moises Caicedo, and Enzo Fernández have each scored 3 goals this season, with Pedro also leading the assists chart (3), showing his dual role as creator and finisher. His positioning and confidence make him the most likely anytime goalscorer in this fixture.
For Wolves, the picture is bleak — only 7 goals scored all season and none of their forwards have managed more than one goal. With their manager sacked and the squad struggling to create chances, predicting a Wolves scorer is almost impossible.
| Player | G/A Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| João Pedro | 71% |
| Pedro Neto | 55% |
| Garnacho | 62% |
BTTS
The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) market for the Chelsea vs Wolves fixture looks very tight and unpredictable. The odds slightly lean toward “Yes” at 2.02, while “No” stands at 1.94, showing the bookmakers see this as a near 50-50 call. Historically, both teams have managed to score in their last five head-to-head meetings, which gives some backing to the “Yes” side. However, Wolves’ current attacking form is poor — they’ve only scored 7 goals all season — and Chelsea keeping four clean sheets in their last ten Premier League matches. While history suggests goals from both sides, current form doesn’t support it, making this market too uncertain. The smart move here would be to skip the BTTS market entirely, as it doesn’t offer enough reliability either way.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| BTTS – Yes | 2.02 |
| BTTS – No | 1.94 |
Crazy Historical Stats
In December 2012, Chelsea beat Wolves 6-0 in a League Cup tie (six different scorers) — a rare complete dominance. chelseafc.com+1
On 25 August 2024, Chelsea demolished Wolves 6-2 at Molineux. Notably, Noni Madueke scored a hat-trick in 14 minutes, while Cole Palmer assisted all three of those goals. Sports Mole+2Sports Mole+2
Wolves’ biggest top-flight win over Chelsea came on 26 September 1953, a dominant 8-1 victory. chelseafc.com+2chelseafc.com+2
In the mid-1970s, Wolves delivered a shock result with a thrashing of Chelsea: on 15 March 1975 at Molineux they won 7-1 away. Chelsea FC Latest News .com
Probability Table
| Market / Event | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Chelsea to Win | 74% |
| Draw | 35% |
| Wolves to Win | 11% |
| Over 0.5 Goals | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 55% |
| BTTS — Yes | 48% |
| Chelsea to Score (anytime) | 92% |
| Wolves to Score (anytime) | 35% |
| João Pedro — Goal or Assist (G/A) | 71% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 40% |
| Wolves clean sheet | 9% |
My Picks
| Market / Player Pick | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Chelsea to Win |
| Over 1.5 Goals | ✅ Safest Pick |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 🔥 High Possibility |
| João Pedro G/A | 71% Probability |
| Pedro Neto G/A | 55% Probability |
| Alejandro Garnacho G/A | 62% Probability |
Final Verdict
Chelsea come into this clash in dominant form after their impressive win against Spurs, while Wolves are a side in complete disarray, sitting at the bottom of the table and struggling to find rhythm under interim management. The odds and form both point heavily toward a Chelsea victory. Expect the Blues to control possession, create several chances, and likely seal the match with multiple goals. Over 1.5 goals looks like the safest bet, with over 2.5 highly probable given Chelsea’s attacking record and Wolves’ leaky defence. João Pedro and Garnacho are the key threats in front of goal for Chelsea, while Pedro Neto remains Wolves’ only real hope of troubling the scoresheet.
