Wolves remain rooted at the bottom of the table with just 2 points from 11 games, making this one of their worst starts in Premier League history. They now return to Molineux under Rob Edwards, who comes back to the club after four years and a strong run with Middlesbrough, leaving them 2nd in the Championship. But this is a completely different challenge—Wolves are leaking goals, lacking creativity, and showing no identity, and Edwards has to stabilise things immediately or the relegation battle could turn hopeless very early.
Crystal Palace, on the other hand, arrive in excellent form under Oliver Glasner, playing aggressive football with pace on the wings and solid defensive structure.
So the big question:
Can Rob Edwards break the drought instantly, or does this game just add more pressure with another zero-point outcome?
Given their form, Wolves need a near-perfect display to stop Palace from controlling the game. Palace are favourites on momentum, while Wolves rely purely on the “new manager bounce”—which sometimes works, but rarely against teams with a settled identity like Glasner’s Palace.
Odds Analysis
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Wolves Win | 4.10 |
| Draw | 3.65 |
| Crystal Palace Win | 2.04 |
The market clearly leans toward Crystal Palace, and it makes sense. Wolves have just 2 points in 11 matches, offering almost no argument for why they should be favourites—especially with a new manager taking over a broken squad. On the other side, Palace under Glasner have been one of the more consistent sides this season, with a defined structure and actual end product.
Looking at last season’s fixtures:
- Palace won 4–2 at Selhurst Park
- The meeting at Molineux ended 2–2, with all four goals coming in the second half
These results show that this fixture tends to open up late, and Palace usually find a way to score multiple goals against Wolves.
Given form and momentum, 2.04 on Palace is fair and shows the bookmakers expect Palace to control the match. Wolves at 4.10 are priced purely on the “new manager bounce” possibility, not their actual performances.
Over/Under Goals
Crystal Palace arrive with one of the tightest defences in the league, conceding fewer goals than everyone except Arsenal and Manchester City, while Wolves sit at the bottom with the worst defensive record and the weakest attack. This contrast usually produces chaotic matches, and the recent head-to-head history backs it—each of the last five meetings has gone over 3.5 goals, showing how open this fixture becomes once it settles. Given Wolves’ defensive leaks and Palace’s balanced scoring under Oliver Glasner, at least two to three goals look very realistic. While Palace’s structure could still reduce the scoreline if they control possession, the probability strongly leans toward Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals being the safer ranges, with Over 3.5 remaining very much alive considering the historic trend.
| Market | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 40% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 22% |
| Under 0.5 Goals | 7% |
Goal | Assist
Wolves have struggled badly in attack this season, scoring only 7 goals in 11 matches, which means their output is scattered with no reliable standout scorer. Normally, this makes Wolves a very risky team for anytime scorer or G/A bets. However, one small positive is that Strand Larsen has returned from injury and even scored a late extra-time goal for Norway vs Italy during the international break. His confidence boost could make him the only semi-viable Wolves attacking option—still risky, but better than the rest of the squad.
Crystal Palace, meanwhile, are far more predictable and efficient in front of goal. Jean-Philippe Mateta is in excellent form with 6 goals, clearly the most reliable G/A pick. Ismaila Sarr, with 3 goals, remains a consistent threat and fits perfectly into Glasner’s vertical, transition-based system. If you’re choosing G/A bets, Mateta and Sarr are the sensible options, with Strand Larsen only as a long-shot consideration.
| Player | Goals | Assist | G/A Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 6 | 0 | 48% |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 | 1 | 38% |
| Strand Larsen | 1 | 0 | 22% |
BTTS
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| BTTS – Yes | 1.19 |
| BTTS – No | 2.02 |
BTTS Yes is strongly supported by both the odds and the recent head-to-head pattern where every match saw both sides scoring.
Probability Table
| Market | Probability % |
|---|---|
| Wolves Win | 21% |
| Crystal Palace Win | 52% |
| Draw | 27% |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| BTTSYes | 68% |
| BTTS No | 32% |
| Mateta G/A | 69% |
| Ismaila Sarr G/A | 54% |
| Strand Larsen G/A | 41% |
My Picks
| Market | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
Final Verdict
Crystal Palace walk into this game with the momentum, structure, and firepower Wolves are simply lacking right now. Wolves’ defence has been leaking goals all season, and even though Rob Edwards’ return brings some emotional lift, the squad quality and confidence levels are nowhere near Palace’s. Add to that the fact that every recent head-to-head between these two has produced big scorelines, and the expectation leans heavily toward another open, attacking match. Palace’s attacking Mateta, Sarr, and the creative support behind them—should find enough space to threaten all game, while Wolves, desperate for points, won’t sit back quietly. This mix points strongly toward goals.
