Wolves head into this clash in a desperate situation, sitting bottom of the Premier League table in 20th place. Their season has been extremely difficult, managing just one win in 24 matches, a 3–0 victory over fellow relegation battlers West Ham.
In their most recent outing, Wolves suffered a 2–0 home defeat to Bournemouth, once again struggling to create enough attacking threat. Confidence is low, and with points desperately needed, Molineux will be hoping for a reaction but the task ahead is a tough one.
Chelsea arrive in much stronger shape, currently sitting 5th in the league and firmly in the race for Champions League qualification.
Their last Premier League match was a thrilling 3–2 comeback win over West Ham at Stamford Bridge, where the Hammers raced into a two-goal lead before Chelsea responded with three unanswered goals. The result highlighted Chelsea’s attacking quality and fighting spirit.
However, Chelsea did suffer a narrow 1–0 defeat to Arsenal in the midweek EFL Cup semi-final, with Kai Havertz scoring a late winner in stoppage time (90+7).
The most recent meeting between these two sides ended in a comfortable 3–0 victory for Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
All three goals came in the second half, with Malo Gusto opening the scoring in the 51st minute, followed by strikes from João Pedro in the 65th minute and Pedro Neto in the 73rd minute, underlining Chelsea’s dominance.
📌 Match Context
• Wolves are battling for survival and struggling badly for form
• Chelsea are pushing for a top-four finish and showing strong momentum in the league
• Recent head-to-head meetings strongly favour Chelsea
Can Chelsea continue their momentum and secure another three points against Wolves, or will the home side finally produce a fighting performance to frustrate the visitors at Molineux?
Odds Analysis
Wolves – 5.20
Draw – 4.30
Chelsea – 1.72
Bookmakers have installed Chelsea as strong favourites, reflecting Wolves’ terrible season and Chelsea’s recent momentum. The wide gap in odds clearly shows the difference in quality and current form between the two sides.
Recent Form – Wolves
- Wolves 0–2 Bournemouth
- Man City 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 0–0 Newcastle
- Everton 1–1 Wolves
- Wolves 3–0 West Ham
Wolves have managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. They failed to score in three games, showing major attacking problems. Against stronger sides, their defence has struggled badly.
👉 Overall form remains very poor.
Recent Form – Chelsea
- Chelsea 3–2 West Ham
- Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea
- Chelsea 2–0 Brentford
- Fulham 2–1 Chelsea
- Man City 1–1 Chelsea
Chelsea are in strong form, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss in their last five matches. They are scoring consistently and showing confidence in attack.
👉 Momentum is clearly with Chelsea.
Season Performance
Wolves
- Played: 24
- Won: 1
- Drawn: 5
- Lost: 18
Wolves have endured a nightmare season with just one win all campaign and 18 defeats.
👉 This is relegation-level form in every aspect.
Wolves – Home Record
- Played: 12
- Won: 1
- Drawn: 2
- Lost: 9
At Molineux, Wolves have been extremely weak, losing nine home matches already and conceding heavily.
👉 Home advantage has not helped them this season.
Chelsea
- Played: 24
- Won: 11
- Drawn: 7
- Lost: 6
Chelsea have enjoyed a solid campaign, remaining consistent and competitive. They are firmly pushing for Champions League places.
Chelsea – Away Record
- Played: 12
- Won: 5
- Drawn: 4
- Lost: 3
Away from home, Chelsea are strong and difficult to beat, winning five times and rarely suffering heavy defeats.
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Premier League Meetings)
- Chelsea 3–0 Wolves (Nov 2025)
- Chelsea 3-1 Wolves (Jan 2025)
- Wolves 2–6 Chelsea (Aug 2024)
- Chelsea 2–4 Wolves (Feb 2024)
- Wolves 2–1 Chelsea (Dec 2023)
Chelsea have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, and most games have been high-scoring.
👉 Chelsea often score 3+ goals against Wolves.
Overall Odds Verdict
- Wolves: terrible season + very weak at home
- Chelsea: strong recent form + solid away performances
- H2H: clearly favours Chelsea
Everything points toward a Chelsea-controlled match.
Over/Under Goals Analysis
Wolves – Goals Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Scored: 15
- Conceded: 45
- Estimated xG: 0.6 scored | 1.87 conceded
Wolves have struggled badly in attack, scoring only 5 goals in 12 matches, while conceding heavily.
👉 Their games average around 2.1 total goals, mostly due to opponents scoring.
Wolves – Home Matches
- Played: 12
- Scored: 10
- Conceded: 25
- Estimated xG: 0.8 scored | 2.0 conceded
At Molineux, Wolves’ defence collapses under pressure, allowing over 2 goals per game on average.
👉 Home matches often become high-scoring against them.
Chelsea – Goals Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Scored: 42
- Conceded: 27
- Estimated xG: 1.75 scored | 1.12 conceded
Chelsea average around 2.8 total goals per match, showing strong attacking output with a fairly solid defence.
👉 Their games regularly cross the 2-goal mark.
Chelsea – Away Matches
- Played: 12
- Scored: 22
- Conceded: 14
- Estimated xG: 1.9 scored | 1.2 conceded
Away from home, Chelsea are even more dangerous, scoring nearly 2 goals per game and creating lots of chances.
👉 Away fixtures strongly favour over goals markets.
Head-to-Head Goals Trend (Last 5 PL Matches)
- Chelsea 3–0 Wolves (Nov 2025)
- Chelsea 3-1 Wolves (Jan 2025)
- Wolves 2–6 Chelsea (Aug 2024)
- Chelsea 2–4 Wolves (Feb 2024)
- Wolves 2–1 Chelsea (Dec 2023)
H2H Pattern:
- ✅ All last 5 meetings had 3+ goals
- 🔥 3 matches produced 5+ goals
👉 This fixture is consistently open and high-scoring.
Over/Under Final Verdict
- Wolves concede heavily, both home & away
- Chelsea attack strongly
- H2H history screams goals
Anytime Goalscorer or Assist
| Player (Goals / Assists) | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Mateus Mané (2G / 1A) | 22% |
| Santiago Bueno (2G / 0A) | 18% |
| Hee-chan Hwang (2G / 1A) | 26% |
| João Pedro (9G / 4A) | 48% |
| Enzo Fernández (8G / 2A) | 42% |
| Pedro Neto (5G / 3A) | 34% |
BTTS Odds
BTTS – Yes: 1.78
BTTS – No: 2.20
Bookmakers slightly lean toward BTTS Yes, but the underlying team trends suggest this fixture may not be as open as the odds imply.
Wolves
Overall
- Played: 24
- Clean sheets: 2
- Failed to score: 12
Wolves have managed only 2 clean sheets all season and have failed to score in half of their matches.
👉 Their attack is extremely unreliable, making BTTS a risky option.
Wolves – Home Games
- Played: 12
- Clean sheets: 1
- Failed to score: 5
At Molineux, Wolves still struggle badly to keep opponents out and often go scoreless.
👉 Home fixtures do not strongly support BTTS.
Chelsea – BTTS Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Clean sheets: 9
- Failed to score: 2
Chelsea boast a strong defensive record with 9 clean sheets and rarely fail to find the net.
👉 Their solid defence often prevents BTTS.
Chelsea – Away Games
- Played: 12
- Clean sheets: 2
- Failed to score: 1
Away from home, Chelsea still score regularly while keeping things fairly tight at the back.
👉 Many away wins come with Wolves-like teams failing to score.
Head-to-Head BTTS Trend (Last 5 Premier League Matches)
- Chelsea 3–0 Wolves (Nov 2025)
- Wolves 2–6 Chelsea (Aug 2024)
- Chelsea 3–1 Wolves (Jan 2025)
- Wolves 2–1 Chelsea (Dec 2023)
- Chelsea 2–4 Wolves (Feb 2024)
Pattern:
- BTTS happened in 4 of the last 5 meetings
- However, Chelsea often dominate the game
- Wolves frequently fail to score in one-sided losses
👉 H2H looks high-scoring, but Wolves’ current attack is far weaker now.
BTTS Final Verdict
- Wolves struggle badly to score
- Chelsea keep many clean sheets
- Chelsea often dominate weaker teams
Probability Table
| Market / Outcome | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Chelsea Win | 68% |
| Draw | 20% |
| Wolves Win | 12% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% |
| BTTS – Yes | 40% |
| BTTS – No | 60% |
| Chelsea Clean Sheet | 48% |
| Wolves Clean Sheet | 8% |
My Picks
| Pick |
|---|
| Chelsea Win or Draw (Double Chance) |
| Over 1.5 Total Goals |
| Over 2.5 Total Goals |
Final Verdict
Everything points toward Chelsea holding the upper hand in this matchup. Wolves’ struggles at both ends of the pitch, combined with their poor overall form, make it difficult to see them seriously troubling a confident Chelsea side that is scoring freely and pushing hard for a top-four finish. While the home crowd at Molineux may inspire some resistance from Wolverhampton Wanderers, Chelsea’s superior quality, momentum in the league, and recent dominance in this fixture should see them control the game. Overall, the visitors look well placed to secure another three points, likely in a match where Wolves struggle to keep them out.
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