Arsenal welcome Everton to the Emirates Stadium in Premier League Round 30, with the league leaders looking to maintain their strong advantage at the top of the table. Arsenal currently sit first with 67 points, holding a seven-point lead over second-placed Manchester City, although they have played one game more. Mikel Arteta’s side come into this fixture in solid form across competitions. In the Champions League, they secured a 1–1 draw away against Bayer Leverkusen at the BayArena in midweek. Domestically, Arsenal progressed in the FA Cup with a victory over Mansfield at One Call Stadium and also picked up an important 1–0 away win against Brighton in their last Premier League outing at the Amex Stadium.
Everton, managed by David Moyes, arrive with momentum of their own after a comfortable 2–0 victory against relegation-threatened Burnley at Hill Dickinson Stadium. That result has helped the Toffees climb into eighth place in the table with 43 points, keeping them in the hunt for a potential top-half or even European push depending on results elsewhere.
The most recent meeting between these two sides ended in a narrow 1–0 away victory for Arsenal, with Viktor Gyökeres scoring the decisive goal from the penalty spot in the 27th minute. Historically, Arsenal have had the better record in this fixture, winning the majority of meetings between the clubs. However, Everton under Moyes are known for their disciplined defensive structure, which could make this a difficult contest for the league leaders.
The key question heading into this clash is whether Arsenal can continue their title charge smoothly at home, or if David Moyes’ Everton can frustrate them and potentially take valuable points away from the Emirates.
Match Facts
• Arsenal: 1st 67 points
• Everton: 8th 43 points
• Head-to-Head (34 matches):
• Arsenal wins 20
• Draws 7
• Everton wins 7
• Venue: Emirates Stadium
• Referee: Andrew Madley
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.40 | 2/5 | -250 |
| Draw | 5.10 | 4/1 | +410 |
| Everton | 10.50 | 9.5/1 | +950 |
Arsenal (Last 5 PL Games)
- Brighton 0-1 Arsenal
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
- Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal
- Wolves 2–2 Arsenal
- Brentford 1–1 Arsenal
Everton (Last 5 PL Games)
- Everton 2–0 Burnley
- Newcastle 2–3 Everton
- Everton 0–1 Manchester United
- Everton 1–2 Bournemouth
- Fulham 1–2 Everton
Arsenal this season statistics
- 20 Win 7 Draws 3 Losses
Home Record
- 11 Wins 2 Draws 1 Loss
Everton this season statistics
- 12 Wins 7 Draws 10 Losses
Away Record
- 7 Wins 3 Draws 4 Losses
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal
- Everton 1–1 Arsenal
- Arsenal 0–0 Everton
- Arsenal 2–1 Everton
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
Arsenal goals this season
- 59 goals scored
- 22 goals conceded
- xG created per match 1.97
- xG conceded per match 0.73
Arsenal at Home
- 33 goals scored
- 9 goals conceded
- xG created 2.36
- xG conceded 0.64
Everton goals this season
- 34 goals scored
- 33 goals conceded
- xG created per match 1.17
- xG conceded per match 1.14
Everton Away
- 16 goals scored
- 14 goals conceded
- xG created 1.14
- xG conceded 1.00
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal
- Everton 1–1 Arsenal
- Arsenal 0–0 Everton
- Arsenal 2–1 Everton
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Arsenal | Everton |
| Trossard | Coleman |
| Calafiori | Alcaraz |
| Merino | Grealish |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.44 | 7/5 | +144 |
| No | 1.65 | 4/6 | -154 |
Arsenal scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 14 in 30
- Failed to score: 3 in 30
Arsenal at Home
- Clean sheets: 6 in 14
- Failed to score: 1 in 14
Everton scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 10 in 29
- Failed to score: 8 in 29
Everton Away
- Clean sheets: 4 in 14
- Failed to score: 4 in 14
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal
- Everton 1–1 Arsenal
- Arsenal 0–0 Everton
- Arsenal 2–1 Everton
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Arsenal Win | 71% |
| Draw | 19% |
| Everton Win | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% |
| BTTS – Yes | 40% |
| BTTS – No | 60% |
| Arsenal Win to Nil | 37% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Arsenal 2–0 Everton | 18% |
| Arsenal 2–1 Everton | 15% |
| Arsenal 1–0 Everton | 13% |
| Arsenal 1–1 Everton | 9% |
| Arsenal 3–0 Everton | 8% |
| Arsenal 3–1 Everton | 7% |
| Arsenal 0–0 Everton | 6% |
| Arsenal 2–2 Everton | 5% |
| Arsenal 1–2 Everton | 4% |
| Arsenal 4–0 Everton | 3% |
My Picks
| Arsenal Win or Draw |
Final Verdict
Everything points toward a favorable outcome for Arsenal FC at the Emirates Stadium. Mikel Arteta’s side have been extremely consistent this season and possess both the attacking quality and defensive solidity to control matches at home. While Everton FC arrive in good form and will likely rely on a compact defensive structure under David Moyes, breaking down Arsenal’s rhythm for the full ninety minutes will be a difficult task. Arsenal’s ability to dominate possession and create chances through structured build-up should eventually produce opportunities, even against a disciplined Everton defence. If the hosts manage to score first, they are well positioned to dictate the tempo and secure another important victory in their pursuit of the Premier League title.
