Arsenal
Mikel Arteta’s men come into this fixture full of confidence after a 2-0 win over Olympiacos in the Champions League. The Gunners sit 2nd in the Premier League, chasing Arne Slot’s Liverpool, who recently slipped against Crystal Palace. Arsenal, however, remain consistent and determined, having only lost once (to Liverpool) and drawn once (against Manchester City). After finishing 2nd in three consecutive seasons (2022/23 to 2024/25), Arteta’s side is under immense pressure to finally cross the line and lift the Premier League trophy. With just 5 points dropped this season, every game counts, and at home against a struggling West Ham side, Arsenal will see this as an opportunity to maintain momentum in their title challenge.
West Ham
The Hammers are going through a transition after sacking Graham Potter before game week 6. New manager Nuno Espírito Santo, who impressed last season by guiding Nottingham Forest to a European spot, has taken charge. His debut with West Ham saw them grind out a 1-1 draw against Everton, securing a point but leaving them still hovering in the relegation zone. Nuno’s task is huge – stabilizing the defense, reviving confidence, and bringing a clear tactical identity. Facing Arsenal at the Emirates is a daunting assignment for any manager. For West Ham, this match is less about expecting three points and more about showing resilience and giving signs that Nuno can turn the season around.
Arsenal vs West Ham – Odds Analysis
Arsenal (1.24) | West Ham (16.5) | Draw (7.4)
The bookmakers have made it crystal clear — Arsenal are overwhelming favorites in this tie. With their current form, home advantage, and West Ham’s ongoing struggles, the Gunners are expected to dominate. The only way this script could flip is through an unexpected event like a red card, an early injury, or a defensive lapse that gifts West Ham an opening.
However, even in the scenario where West Ham score first, Arsenal’s attacking quality and resilience provide punters with an excellent in-play betting opportunity to back the Gunners at improved odds. In short: Arsenal are almost a straight-line pick for the win here, with very little probability for West Ham unless fortune swings heavily in their favor.
Chances of Winning %
Over/Under Goals
Arsenal’s defensive record speaks for itself — conceding just 3 goals so far, they sit alongside Crystal Palace as the best defenses in the Premier League. But what makes them even more dangerous is the balance: they’ve scored 12 goals, showing both solidity at the back and sharpness up front.
West Ham, on the other hand, are at the opposite extreme — having conceded 14 goals, the worst defensive record in the league, even more than Wolves (13). This leaky defense will almost certainly be tested to the maximum at the Emirates.
Given these stats, Over 1.5 goals looks like the safest play — as Arsenal alone could easily provide 2 or more goals in this fixture. If the Gunners start aggressively and pile on the pressure from the opening whistle, then Over 2.5 goals becomes very likely, with the possibility of a 3-0, 3-1 type of scoreline. West Ham may or may not contribute on the scoresheet, but Arsenal’s attack is strong enough to carry this market by themselves.
Anytime Goalscorer
Viktor Gyökeres – The summer signing is beginning to show why Arsenal brought him in, with 3 goals in 6 appearances so far. Transitioning from Sporting CP and the Portuguese league into the Premier League is never easy, but Gyökeres has adapted well, showing strength, movement, and finishing ability. Against a West Ham defense that has already conceded 14 goals, he is a serious contender to find the net in this fixture.
Eberechi Eze – Returning to his boyhood club, Eze has already made 169 appearances in the Premier League with Crystal Palace and now wears Arsenal’s shirt with pride. While he’s yet to open his account for the Gunners in the Premier League, this could be the type of fixture where his technical ability and eye for space make the difference. Expect him to get into advanced positions and test West Ham’s fragile back line.
For the Hammers, goalscoring has largely come from Jarrod Bowen (3) and Lucas Paquetá (2). Both are clearly the main attacking outlets, but under new manager Nuno, their roles might still be adapting. The problem for West Ham is whether they can get enough of the ball at the Emirates to create real chances for either player. Against Arsenal’s rock-solid defense, predicting a goalscorer from West Ham is risky, and they may leave this match without troubling the scoresheet.
BTTS
The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market for Arsenal vs West Ham is quite interesting, but risky. Arsenal have been rock-solid defensively this season, conceding just 3 goals in their opening matches, making them one of the tightest backlines in the league alongside Crystal Palace. West Ham, on the other hand, have struggled heavily in defense, conceding 14 goals so far, the most in the Premier League. While this might suggest a chance for West Ham to find the net, the gap in quality between the two sides is huge. Arsenal’s dominance at home, combined with their disciplined defensive structure, makes it unlikely that West Ham will score, especially if Arsenal take control early. Therefore, while the odds for BTTS “Yes” are tempting at 2.38, the probability of both teams scoring is actually low, and the safer prediction would be BTTS “No.”
Head-to-Head Facts
Total Matches Played: 153
Arsenal Wins: 74
West Ham Wins: 38
Draws: 41
Goals Scored: Arsenal 116, West Ham 48
Average Goals per Match: 2.9
Clean Sheets: Arsenal 45, West Ham 25 Sports Mole+1
Recent Meetings (Last 10 Matches)
Arsenal Wins: 6
West Ham Wins: 2
Draws: 2
Goal Difference: +12 in favor of Arsenal
Arsenal’s Home Record Against West Ham
Arsenal Wins: 26
West Ham Wins: 1
Draws: 1
Goals Scored: Arsenal 81, West Ham 33
Average Goals per Match: 2.9
Clean Sheets: Arsenal 39, West Ham 17 FootyStats
Historic Unforgettable Moments
Arsenal 8–1 West Ham (1930s)
In one of the most lopsided encounters between the two clubs, Arsenal delivered a commanding 8–1 victory over West Ham. This match remains a testament to Arsenal’s attacking prowess during that era.
West Ham 3–3 Arsenal (2014 Premier League)
In a thrilling match at Upton Park, West Ham staged a remarkable comeback, erasing a 3–0 deficit to draw level with Arsenal. This game is particularly memorable for Andy Carroll’s hat-trick, which halted Arsenal’s title aspirations.
West Ham 2–1 Arsenal (2007 Premier League)
In a surprising upset, West Ham secured a 2–1 victory over Arsenal, ending the Gunners’ 15-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League. This result was a significant moment in the season’s title race.
Arsenal 4–4 West Ham (2012 Premier League)
In a high-scoring affair at the Emirates, both teams shared the spoils in a 4–4 draw. This match was notable for its end-to-end action and the attacking display from both sides.
Arsenal 3–0 West Ham (FA Cup, 2001)
In a dominant FA Cup performance, Arsenal triumphed over West Ham with a 3–0 scoreline, showcasing their superiority in domestic cup competitions.
Probability Table
| Market | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Arsenal to Win | 80.6 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 89 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 79 |
My Picks
Arsenal to Win – high confidence pick.
Over 1.5 Goals – safest bet considering Arsenal’s attacking form.
Over 2.5 Goals – slightly riskier but likely if Arsenal attacks from the start.
Final Verdict
Arsenal are overwhelming favorites at home against West Ham, given their strong attacking form and defensive solidity. The Gunners are likely to score at least 2 goals, and with West Ham’s leaky defense, the match has good potential for multiple goals. Over 1.5 goals is the safest bet, while over 2.5 goals carries slightly more risk but remains very probable. BTTS is less likely as West Ham may struggle to find the net, making an Arsenal win with 2–3 goals the most probable outcome. Overall, backing Arsenal to win with goals in the match offers both safety and value.
Injury Updates / Suspended Player
Arsenal:
Gabriel – Knock / Doubtful
Piero Hincapié – Groin injury / Expected return Mid October 2025
Gabriel Jesus – Cruciate ligament injury / Out until Late December 2025
Kai Havertz – Knee injury / Expected return Mid October 202
Noni Madueke – Knee injury / Out until Late November 2025
West Ham:
Aaron Wan-Bissaka – Illness / Early October 2025
Tomas Soucek – Suspended (Red card)
These absences may affect squad rotation and tactical options, especially for Arsenal in defense and West Ham in midfield.
