Brighton host Liverpool at the Amex Stadium in an intriguing Premier League Matchweek 31 clash, with both teams chasing important points for different reasons. Brighton come into the match after securing a narrow 1–0 away victory against Sunderland at the Stadium of Light, where Yankuba Minteh scored the decisive goal in the 58th minute. That result helped Brighton maintain a steady mid-table position as they currently sit 12th with 40 points.
Liverpool, meanwhile, were held to a 1–1 draw against Tottenham Hotspur in their last league match. Dominic Szoboszlai opened the scoring with a stunning free kick, his fourth direct free-kick goal of the season, before Richarlison rescued a point for Spurs with a dramatic equaliser in the 90th minute. Liverpool are currently fifth in the table with 49 points and remain firmly in the race for a Champions League qualification spot.
The last Premier League meeting between the two sides ended in a comfortable 2–0 victory for Liverpool at Anfield, where Hugo Ekitike scored both goals, striking in the opening minute and again in the 60th minute. However, Brighton have shown they can trouble Liverpool at home. The most recent fixture at the Amex Stadium ended in a thrilling 3–2 victory for Brighton on 10 May 2025 during the 2024–25 season.
Can Brighton beat Liverpool?
Historically, Liverpool have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Brighton have managed to produce strong performances at home in recent years. In the last 11 meetings at the Amex against Liverpool, Brighton have won three times, drawn twice, and lost six. This season at home, Brighton have recorded six wins, six draws, and three defeats in 15 matches, with their losses coming against Arsenal, Crystal Palace, and Aston Villa.
With Liverpool pushing hard for a top-four finish and Brighton looking to strengthen their mid-table standing, this encounter at the Amex Stadium promises to be competitive and potentially entertaining.
Match Preview
• Brighton: 12th 40 points
• Liverpool: 5th 49 points
• Head-to-Head (22 matches in all competitions):
• Brighton wins 4
• Draws 4
• Liverpool wins 14
• No meeting between these sides has ended goalless
• Venue: Amex Stadium
• Premier League Round: 31
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 3.25 | 9/4 | +225 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 11/4 | +275 |
| Liverpool | 2.34 | 11/8 | +134 |
Brighton (Last 5 PL Games)
- Sunderland 0–1 Brighton
- Brighton 0–1 Arsenal
- Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest
- Brentford 0–2 Brighton
- Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton
Liverpool (Last 5 PL Games)
- Liverpool 1–1 Tottenham
- Wolves 2–1 Liverpool
- Liverpool 5–2 West Ham
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool
- Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool
Brighton this season statistics
- 10 Wins 10 Draws 10 Losses
Home Record
- 6 Wins 6 Draws 3 Losses
Liverpool this season statistics
- 14 Wins 7 Draws 9 Losses
Away Record
- 6 Wins 3 Draws 6 Losses
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
- Brighton 3–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
- Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
- Brighton 2–2 Liverpool
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions & Xg statistics
Brighton goals this season
- Goals scored: 39
- Goals conceded: 36
- xG created 1.46
- xG conceded 1.38
Brighton home goals this season
- Goals scored: 22
- Goals conceded: 16
- xG created 1.59
- xG conceded 1.24
Liverpool goals this season
- Goals scored: 49
- Goals conceded: 40
- xG created 1.67
- xG conceded 1.33
Liverpool away goals this season
- Goals scored: 22
- Goals conceded: 23
- xG created 1.56
- xG conceded 1.53
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
- Brighton 3–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
- Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
- Brighton 2–2 Liverpool
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Brighton | Liverpool |
|---|---|
| Kaoru Mitoma (Injured) | Joe Gomez (Injured) |
| Adam Webster (Injured) | Conor Bradley (Injured) |
| Tzimas (Injured) | Leoni (Injured) |
| Stefan Bajčetić (Injured) | |
| Wataru Endo (Injured) | |
| Isak (injured) |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 | 4/6 | -154 |
| No | 2.48 | 6/4 | +148 |
Brighton scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 7 in 30
- Failed to score: 7 in 30
Brighton at Home
- Clean sheets: 2 in 15
- Failed to score: 3 in 15
Liverpool scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 9 in 30
- Failed to score: 4 in 30
Liverpool Away
- Clean sheets: 4 in 15
- Failed to score: 2 in 15
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
- Brighton 3–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
- Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
- Brighton 2–2 Liverpool
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 44% |
| Draw | 27% |
| Brighton Win | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 31% |
| BTTS – Yes | 63% |
| BTTS – No | 37% |
| Liverpool Win to Nil | 16% |
| Brighton Win to Nil | 12% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 2–1 Brighton | 17% |
| 2–2 Draw | 15% |
| Brighton 2–1 Liverpool | 13% |
| 1–1 Draw | 11% |
| Liverpool 3–1 Brighton | 9% |
| Brighton 3–2 Liverpool | 8% |
| Liverpool 1–0 Brighton | 7% |
| Brighton 2–0 Liverpool | 6% |
| Liverpool 3–2 Brighton | 6% |
| 0–0 Draw | 3% |
My Picks
| Over 1.5 Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Final Verdict
This fixture shapes up as a competitive and open contest, but Liverpool FC may hold a slight edge due to their stronger attacking quality and motivation in the race for Champions League qualification. Brighton & Hove Albion have proven to be a difficult side to break down at the Amex and are capable of causing problems, especially with their structured build-up and home support. However, Liverpool’s ability to create higher-quality chances and their consistent scoring form could prove decisive over the course of the match.
That said, Brighton’s home resilience and Liverpool’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities suggest this is unlikely to be a straightforward away win. Both teams should find opportunities, making a goal-filled encounter likely. Overall, Liverpool are slightly favored to edge the result, but a draw remains a strong possibility in what could be another closely fought and entertaining meeting.
