The unbeaten run for Crystal Palace has finally ended after their narrow 2-1 defeat to David Moyes’ Everton at the newly renovated Hill Dickinson Stadium. Returning home to Selhurst Park, Palace will aim to bounce back against a spirited Bournemouth side.
The Cherries come into this fixture full of confidence after a convincing 3-1 win over Fulham at the Vitality Stadium. Historically, this matchup hasn’t been a goal-fest — the last two meetings between these sides both ended in 0-0 draws, one at Selhurst Park and the other at the Vitality.
Will this weekend bring a third stalemate, or will we finally see goals from both sides?
Odds Analysis
Crystal Palace (2.26) | Bournemouth (3.55) | Draw (3.50)
According to the bookmakers, Palace are slightly favoured to win this fixture — mainly due to their impressive home record. The Eagles have remained unbeaten at Selhurst Park this season, showing strong defensive structure and disciplined shape under pressure.
However, Bournemouth aren’t far behind in form. The Cherries have been one of the most consistent mid-table performers, with only one away defeat, that too against Liverpool at Anfield — hardly an easy fixture.
The odds hint at a tight contest, suggesting there isn’t a huge gap in quality or momentum. The real question: can Bournemouth finally break Palace’s home fortress, or will this be their second away loss of the season?
Last 5 matches form
| Crystal Palace | Bournemouth |
|---|---|
| ❌ Loss | 🟢 Win |
| 🟢 Win | 🤝 Draw |
| 🟢 Win | 🤝 Draw |
| 🤝 Draw | 🟢 Win |
| 🟢 Win | 🟢 Win |
Chances of Winning %
Over/Under Goals
The last two meetings between Crystal Palace and Bournemouth both ended in 0-0 draws, showing how evenly matched these sides can be defensively.
This season, Palace have scored 9 and conceded 5 (Goal Difference: +4), while Bournemouth have scored 11 and conceded 8 (Goal Difference: +3). Both teams have also kept 3 clean sheets each, making this fixture tough to predict in terms of goals.
Given the balance in attack and defense for both sides, this match could either turn cagey again or open up if an early goal is scored — making Over/Under markets highly unpredictable for this tie.
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 3 |
| Bournemouth | 3 |
Anytime Goalscorer
Ismaila Sarr (Crystal Palace) – 3 Goals
Sarr has been Palace’s key attacking threat this season, scoring against Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Nottingham Forest. His pace and finishing ability make him a consistent danger on the counterattack.
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) – 2 Goals
Mateta has contributed important goals, one each against West Ham and Aston Villa. His physical presence and ability to hold up play can trouble Bournemouth’s defense.
Antoine Semenyo (Bournemouth) – 6 Goals
Currently sitting 2nd in the Premier League top scorers list, just behind Erling Haaland (9 goals), Semenyo has been in exceptional form. His energy, movement, and finishing consistency make him a strong candidate to score again in this fixture.
| Player | G/A Probability |
|---|---|
| Antoine Semenyo | 78% |
| Ismaila Sarr | 64% |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 55% |
BTTS
Though the odds (Yes – 1.79 / No – 2.22) slightly favour both teams to score, the historical trend between these two sides strongly suggests otherwise. In the last five meetings, not a single game saw both sides score — 3 of them even ended with one side failing to find the net entirely. While form and attacking intent this season may suggest goals, past encounters point to a more cagey, low-scoring affair.
Last 5 Head-to-Head Results
| Fixture | Score |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth | 0 – 0 |
| AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace | 0 – 0 |
| AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace | 1 – 0 |
| Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth | 0 – 2 |
| Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth | 2 – 0 |
Head-to-Head Facts
Total meetings: 81 Sports Mole
Palace wins: 28 Sports Mole
Bournemouth wins: 32 Sports Mole
Draws: 21 Sports Mole
Palace had a run of five consecutive wins vs Bournemouth between May 2019 – May 2023, keeping clean sheets in four of those games. Sports Mole+2Sports Mole+2
The biggest margins of victory: both clubs have won by 6-1 in this fixture historically (Bournemouth in 1926 and Palace in 1928) Sports Mole
Most matches are tightly contested; many draws, low scorelines, and clean sheets are common in recent matchups. Sports Mole+1
My Picks
Draw
Final Verdict
This matchup between Crystal Palace and Bournemouth has all the ingredients for another cagey contest. Both sides boast disciplined defenses — three clean sheets each — and have been efficient in preventing clear-cut chances. Palace will rely on Sarr’s pace and Mateta’s physicality to break through, while Bournemouth’s in-form Antoine Semenyo could cause problems on the counter.
However, the recent history between these two clubs leans heavily towards draws or narrow wins, with the last five meetings producing three Bournemouth wins and two goalless draws.
Expect a tactical battle with limited open-play chances and a midfield-heavy contest. Unless one side finds an early breakthrough, the most realistic outcome remains a Draw (1–1 or 0–0) — a fair reflection of both teams’ current form and balance.
Prediction: Draw (Odds ~3.50)
Alternate bets: Under 2.5 Goals ✅ / Half-time Draw ✅
