Everton host Chelsea at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Premier League Matchweek 31, with both sides looking to bounce back from disappointing recent results. Chelsea come into this fixture after a disastrous Champions League exit at the hands of PSG, losing 8–2 on aggregate across both legs. The Blues suffered a heavy 3–0 defeat at Stamford Bridge, following a 5–2 loss at the Parc des Princes, marking one of their worst European performances in recent years. That setback puts added pressure on Chelsea as they return to domestic action.
Everton, meanwhile, are also coming off a defeat, having lost 2–0 to league leaders Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium. Despite that result, they remain in a relatively strong position in the league, currently sitting eighth with 48 points. Chelsea are just behind them in sixth place with 43 points, making this clash important in the race for European qualification spots.
The last meeting between the two sides at Stamford Bridge ended in a comfortable 2–0 win for Chelsea, with Cole Palmer and Malo Gusto on the scoresheet. Historically, Chelsea have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Everton’s home advantage at their new stadium could play a key role in shaping the outcome.
With Chelsea looking to recover from a humiliating European exit and Everton aiming to strengthen their position in the top half, this encounter could be tightly contested. The big question remains whether Everton can take advantage of Chelsea’s poor momentum or if the Blues can respond with a strong performance away from home.
Match Preview
• Everton: 8th 48 points
• Chelsea: 6th 43 points
• Head-to-Head (36 matches in all competitions):
• Everton wins 10
• Draws 9
• Chelsea wins 17
• Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium
• Referee: Samuel Barrott
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 3.60 | 13/5 | +260 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 13/5 | +265 |
| Chelsea | 2.18 | 6/5 | +118 |
Everton (Last 5 PL Games)
- 0–2 vs Arsenal L
- 2–0 vs Burnley W
- 3–2 vs Newcastle United W
- 0–1 vs Manchester United L
- 1–2 vs AFC Bournemouth L
Chelsea (Last 5 PL Games)
- 0–1 vs Newcastle United L
- 4–1 vs Aston Villa W
- 1–2 vs Arsenal L
- 1–1 vs Burnley D
- 2–2 vs Leeds United D
Everton
- 12W – 7D – 11L
- Home: 5W – 4D – 6L
Chelsea
- 13W – 9D – 8L
- Away: 7W – 4D – 4L
Head-to-Head Trend
- Chelsea 2–0 Everton
- Chelsea 1–0 Everton
- Everton 0–0 Chelsea
- Chelsea 6–0 Everton
- Everton 2–0 Chelsea
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions & Xg statistics
Everton Goal Profile
- Scored: 34 (1.13 per game)
- Conceded: 35 (1.17 per game)
- xG scored: ~1.15
- xG conceded: ~1.25
At Home
- Scored: 18 (1.20 per game)
- Conceded: 19 (1.27 per game)
Chelsea Goal Profile
- Scored: 53 (1.89 per game)
- Conceded: 35 (1.25 per game)
- xG scored: ~1.72
Away
- Scored: 30 (2.00 per game)
- Conceded: 18 (1.20 per game)
Head-to-Head Trend
- Chelsea 2–0 Everton
- Chelsea 1–0 Everton
- Everton 0–0 Chelsea
- Chelsea 6–0 Everton
- Everton 2–0 Chelsea
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Everton | Chelsea |
|---|---|
| George (suspended) | Mykhailo Mudryk (suspended) |
| James Tarkowski (injured) | Jamie Gittens (injured) |
| Jarrad Branthwaite (injured) | Trevoh Chalobah (injured) |
| Carlos Alcaraz (injured) | Reece James (injured) |
| Jack Grealish (injured) | Levi Colwill (injured) |
| Filip Jørgensen (injured) | |
| Benoît Badiashile (injured) |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Market | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 | 8/11 | -137 |
| No | 2.32 | 11/8 | +132 |
Everton BTTS Profile
- Clean sheets: 10
- Failed to score: 9
At Home
- Clean sheets: 4
- Failed to score: 4
Chelsea BTTS Profile
- Clean sheets: 9
- Failed to score: 3
Away
- Clean sheets: 3
- Failed to score: 1
Head-to-Head Trend
- Chelsea 2–0 Everton
- Chelsea 1–0 Everton
- Everton 0–0 Chelsea
- Chelsea 6–0 Everton
- Everton 2–0 Chelsea
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market / Selection | Probability |
|---|---|
| Chelsea Win | 45% |
| Draw | 27% |
| Everton Win | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 28% |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 30% |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% |
| BTTS – Yes | 55% |
| BTTS – No | 45% |
| Chelsea & Over 2.5 | 28% |
| Draw & BTTS Yes | 15% |
| Chelsea Win to Nil | 22% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Everton 1–2 Chelsea | 16% |
| 1–1 Draw | 15% |
| Everton 0–1 Chelsea | 13% |
| Everton 1–1 Chelsea (alt model) | 12% |
| Everton 0–2 Chelsea | 11% |
| Everton 2–1 Chelsea | 9% |
| Everton 1–0 Chelsea | 8% |
| Everton 2–2 Chelsea | 7% |
| Everton 1–3 Chelsea | 5% |
| Everton 0–0 Chelsea | 4% |
My Picks
| Over 0.5 Goals |
Final Verdict
This fixture feels finely balanced but slightly tilted toward Chelsea despite their recent European collapse. Everton’s structure, home advantage, and league consistency make them a difficult side to break down, especially in controlled games where they can stay compact and frustrate opponents. However, Chelsea’s attacking quality and urgency to respond after a humiliating defeat could drive a stronger, more aggressive performance. The key factor will be whether Chelsea can regain composure defensively while maintaining their offensive threat. If they do, they have the edge to take all three points; if not, Everton are more than capable of capitalizing. Overall, expect a tight contest where small moments decide the outcome, with Chelsea narrowly favored but a draw remaining a very realistic result.
