Fulham welcome Burnley to Craven Cottage in Premier League Matchweek 31, with both teams coming into the game after goalless draws in their previous fixtures. Fulham were held to a 0–0 draw away at the City Ground against Nottingham Forest, while Burnley also played out a 0–0 stalemate at Turf Moor against Bournemouth. As the season enters its final stretch, both sides will be eager to turn those draws into victories for very different reasons.
Fulham currently sit 11th in the table with 41 points and remain comfortably placed in mid-table. While European qualification looks unlikely, they will still aim to finish the season strongly and push towards the top half. Burnley, on the other hand, are in serious trouble near the bottom of the table. Scott Parker’s side are 19th with just 20 points and find themselves nine points away from the safety zone, making every remaining match crucial in their fight to avoid relegation.
The previous meeting between the two sides this season ended in an exciting 3–2 away win for Fulham at Turf Moor. However, the last encounter at Craven Cottage tells a different story. Burnley secured a 2–0 victory there in 2023, with Wilson Odobert and Sander Berge scoring the goals. Interestingly, Berge has since moved to Fulham and could now face his former club in this fixture.
Can Burnley avoid relegation?
Burnley’s chances of survival remain slim, especially with a difficult run of fixtures still ahead against strong opponents such as Manchester City, Arsenal, Brighton, and Aston Villa. With Fulham playing at home and Burnley desperate for points, this match could prove crucial in shaping the relegation battle as the season approaches its final weeks.
Match Facts
• Fulham: 11th | 41 points
• Burnley: 19th | 20 points
• Head-to-Head (10 matches in all competitions):
• Fulham wins 2
• Draws 2
• Burnley wins 6
• Venue: Craven Cottage
• Premier League Round: 31
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1.62 | 8/13 | -161 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 10/3 | +330 |
| Burnley | 6.60 | 11/2 | +560 |
Fulham (Last 5 PL Games)
- Nottingham Forest 0–0 Fulham
- Fulham 0–1 West Ham
- Fulham 2–1 Tottenham
- Sunderland 1–3 Fulham
- Manchester City 3–0 Fulham
Burnley (Last 5 PL Games)
- Burnley 0–0 Bournemouth
- Everton 2–0 Burnley
- Burnley 3–4 Brentford
- Chelsea 1–1 Burnley
- Crystal Palace 2–3 Burnley
Fulham this season statistics
- 12 Wins 5 Draws 13 Losses
Home Record
- 8 Wins 2 Draws 5 Losses
Burnley this season statistics
- 4 Wins 8 Draws 18 Losses
Away Record
- 2 Wins 3 Draws 10 Losses
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Burnley 2–3 Fulham
- Burnley 2–2 Fulham
- Fulham 0–2 Burnley
- Fulham 0–2 Burnley
- Burnley 1–1 Fulham
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions & Xg statistics
Fulham goals this season
- 40 goals scored
- 43 goals conceded
- xG created per match 1.33
- xG conceded per match 1.43
Fulham home goals this season
- 24 goals scored
- 18 goals conceded
- xG created 1.6
- xG conceded 1.2
Burnley goals this season
- 32 goals scored
- 58 goals conceded
- xG created per match 1.06
- xG conceded per match 1.93
Burnley away goals this season
- 17 goals scored
- 35 goals conceded
- xG created 1.13
- xG conceded 2.33
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Burnley 2–3 Fulham
- Burnley 2–2 Fulham
- Fulham 0–2 Burnley
- Fulham 0–2 Burnley
- Burnley 1–1 Fulham
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Fulham | Burnley |
| Macedo | Tuanzebe |
| Trésor | |
| Cullen | |
| Beyer | |
| Roberts | |
| Ambouni |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.96 | 10/11 | -104 |
| No | 1.96 | 10/11 | -104 |
Fulham scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 6 in 30
- Failed to score: 7 in 30
Fulham at Home scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 3 in 15
- Failed to score: 2 in 15
Burnley scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 4 in 30
- Failed to score: 11 in 30
Burnley Away scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 0 in 15
- Failed to score: 4 in 15
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Burnley 2–3 Fulham
- Burnley 2–2 Fulham
- Fulham 0–2 Burnley
- Fulham 0–2 Burnley
- Burnley 1–1 Fulham
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham Win | 62% |
| Draw | 23% |
| Burnley Win | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% |
| BTTS – Yes | 53% |
| BTTS – No | 47% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham 2–1 Burnley | 18% |
| Fulham 2–0 Burnley | 16% |
| Fulham 1–1 Burnley | 12% |
| Fulham 1–0 Burnley | 10% |
| Fulham 3–1 Burnley | 9% |
| Fulham 0–1 Burnley | 6% |
| Fulham 2–2 Burnley | 6% |
| Fulham 3–0 Burnley | 5% |
| Fulham 0–0 Burnley | 4% |
| Fulham 1–2 Burnley | 4% |
My Picks
| Fulham Win or Draw |
| Over 1.5 Goals |
Final Verdict
This matchup leans clearly in favor of Fulham FC, especially with the advantage of playing at Craven Cottage and facing a side struggling heavily for consistency. Fulham may not have been dominant recently, but their overall structure, attacking options, and home performances give them a solid edge. Burnley FC, despite showing occasional fight, continue to suffer from defensive instability and a lack of cutting edge in crucial moments, which has been a major factor in their position near the bottom of the table.
Burnley’s urgency in the relegation battle could make them competitive, particularly in the early stages, but sustaining that intensity for the full match will be difficult. Fulham’s ability to control possession and capitalize on defensive mistakes should eventually create the difference. Unless Burnley produce a highly disciplined and clinical performance, Fulham are expected to come out on top, most likely in a controlled win rather than a high-scoring encounter.
