Liverpool will host Tottenham Hotspur at Anfield in the upcoming Premier League Round 30 fixture, with both teams coming into the match after disappointing results in the UEFA Champions League. Liverpool suffered a 1–0 defeat away to Galatasaray at RAMS Park in the knockout stage, where an early goal from Mario Lemina proved to be the difference. Despite the European setback, Liverpool had a positive result domestically last weekend as they defeated Wolves 3–1 at Molineux in the FA Cup. However, their league form has shown inconsistency, as they had previously lost 2–1 to the same Wolves side at the same venue in a Premier League fixture.
Tottenham Hotspur also experienced a difficult night in Europe, suffering a heavy 5–2 defeat away to Atletico Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Spurs manager Igor Tudor made a bold decision by starting second-choice goalkeeper Antonín Kinský, who lacks Champions League experience. The decision backfired early in the match, as two costly errors from the goalkeeper allowed Atletico Madrid to score quickly and take control of the game. By the 17th minute Atletico were already three goals ahead, forcing Tudor to substitute Kinský for regular goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario. Tottenham now face a huge challenge in the second leg, as they must score four goals without conceding at their home stadium to progress.
Can Tottenham Hotspur avoid Relegation?
In the Premier League, Tottenham’s situation is becoming increasingly concerning. They recently lost 3–1 at home to London rivals Crystal Palace, leaving them in 16th place with 29 points and just one point above the relegation zone. With the season entering its crucial stage, every point will be important in their fight to remain in the top division. Tottenham also face a very difficult run of upcoming fixtures, including away matches against Liverpool, Chelsea, Aston Villa and Sunderland. Playing strong teams away from home while dealing with poor form makes their situation even more challenging. The squad is also struggling with a long list of injuries, and to make matters worse, key defender Micky van de Ven will miss the match due to suspension after receiving a red card.
Match Facts
- Competition: Premier League – Round 30
- Venue: Anfield
- Referee: Chris Kavanagh
- Liverpool position: 6th – 48 points
- Tottenham position: 16th – 29 points
Head-to-Head (All competitions – 36 matches):
- Liverpool wins 21
- Tottenham wins 7
- Draws 8
At Anfield (17 matches):
- Liverpool wins 12
- Draws 4
- Tottenham wins 1
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.35 | 4/11 | -286 |
| Draw | 6.40 | 11/2 | +540 |
| Tottenham | 9.20 | 8/1 | +820 |
Liverpool (Last 5 PL Games)
- Wolves 2–1 Liverpool
- Liverpool 5–2 West Ham
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool
- Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool
- Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur (Last 5 PL Games)
- Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace
- Fulham 2–1 Tottenham
- Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal
- Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
- Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham
Liverpool this season statistics
- 14 Wins – 6 Draws – 9 Losses
Home Record
- 8 Wins – 3 Draws – 3 Losses
Tottenham this season statistics
- 7 Wins – 8 Draws – 14 Losses
Away Record
- 5 Wins – 4 Draws – 5 Losses
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Tottenham 1–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 5–1 Tottenham
- Tottenham 3–6 Liverpool
- Liverpool 4–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 2–1 Liverpool
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
Liverpool goals this season
- 48 goals scored
- 39 goals conceded
- xG created per match ≈ 1.71
- xG conceded per match ≈ 1.39
Liverpool home goals this season
- 26 goals scored
- 16 goals conceded
- xG created ≈ 1.86
- xG conceded ≈ 1.14
Tottenham goals this season
- 39 goals scored
- 46 goals conceded
- xG created per match ≈ 1.34
- xG conceded per match ≈ 1.59
Tottenham away goals this season
- 21 goals scored
- 21 goals conceded
- xG created ≈ 1.50
- xG conceded ≈ 1.50
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Tottenham 1–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 5–1 Tottenham
- Tottenham 3–6 Liverpool
- Liverpool 4–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 2–1 Liverpool
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Liverpool | Tottenham |
|---|---|
| Wataru Endo | Micky van de Ven (Suspended) |
| Conor Bradley | Radu Drăgușin |
| Alexander Isak | Djed Spence |
| Giovanni Leoni | Obobert |
| Stefan Bajčetić | Destiny Udogie |
| Lucas Bergvall | |
| Ben Davies | |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | |
| Mohammed Kudus | |
| James Maddison | |
| Dejan Kulusevski |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.87 | 5/6 | -115 |
| No | 2.12 | 23/20 | +112 |
Liverpool scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 9 in 29
- Failed to score: 4 in 29
Liverpool home
- Clean sheets: 3 in 14
- Failed to score: 2 in 14
Tottenham scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 7 in 29
- Failed to score: 5 in 29
✈️ Tottenham Away
- Clean sheets: 4 in 14
- Failed to score: 3 in 14
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Tottenham 1–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 5–1 Tottenham
- Tottenham 3–6 Liverpool
- Liverpool 4–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 2–1 Liverpool
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 69% |
| Draw | 17% |
| Tottenham Win | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 76% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 34% |
| BTTS – Yes | 57% |
| BTTS – No | 43% |
| Liverpool Win to Nil | 32% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham | 18% |
| Liverpool 2–1 Tottenham | 15% |
| Liverpool 2–0 Tottenham | 13% |
| Liverpool 3–2 Tottenham | 10% |
| Liverpool 1–1 Tottenham | 8% |
| Liverpool 1–0 Tottenham | 7% |
| Liverpool 4–1 Tottenham | 6% |
| Liverpool 2–2 Tottenham | 6% |
| Liverpool 0–1 Tottenham | 4% |
| Liverpool 4–2 Tottenham | 4% |
| Other Outcomes | 9% |
My Picks
| Liverpool Win or Draw |
| Over 1.5 Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Final Verdict
All signs point toward an advantage for Liverpool FC at Anfield. Despite their recent inconsistency, Liverpool remain a strong side at home and still possess enough attacking quality to trouble a fragile Tottenham Hotspur defence. Spurs arrive under heavy pressure following difficult results both domestically and in Europe, and the absence of key defender Micky van de Ven further weakens their defensive structure. While Tottenham may attempt to stay compact and rely on counterattacks, Liverpool’s pressing intensity and wing play at Anfield should allow them to control large periods of the match. If Liverpool manage to score early, the momentum could quickly shift in their favour, making a home victory the most likely outcome in what could still be an open and entertaining contest.
