Manchester United welcome Crystal Palace to Old Trafford in an important Premier League encounter, with Michael Carrick’s interim spell continuing to draw attention. Since taking charge, Carrick has overseen an impressive sequence of results, recording five wins and a draw in his first six matches. Notably, United secured a statement victory over Manchester City at Old Trafford and followed it with another high-profile win against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium. A dramatic late winner against Fulham further highlighted a team showing renewed composure and belief. United’s most recent league outing ended in a narrow 0–1 win away to Everton at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Manchester United currently sit 4th in the Premier League table, firmly engaged in the race for Champions League qualification. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, occupy 13th position and arrive with momentum following a disciplined 1–0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers at Selhurst Park. That match turned following a second yellow card for Wolves defender Ladislav Krejčí, allowing Palace to capitalise. The decisive moment came late, with substitute Evann Guessand scoring the winning goal to seal all three points.
The most recent head-to-head meeting between these sides favoured Manchester United, who secured a 2–1 victory. Crystal Palace initially took the lead through a Jean-Philippe Mateta penalty, but United responded strongly in the second half. Goals from Joshua Zirkzee and Mason Mount completed the turnaround, reinforcing United’s ability to control decisive phases of the contest.
Can Manchester United qualify for the champions league this season ?
Manchester United’s qualification hopes remain very much alive under Carrick’s guidance. Performances have stabilised, particularly in high-pressure fixtures, yet competition for top-four places remains intense. Rivals such as Chelsea, Liverpool, and Aston Villa continue to apply pressure, ensuring that consistency will be critical. United’s defensive organisation and efficiency in converting chances are likely to determine whether Carrick’s interim tenure results in Champions League football.
Can Crystal Palace produce another resilient display capable of frustrating United at Old Trafford, or will Manchester United’s quality and home advantage deliver a controlled victory?
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal Odds | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1.58 | 4/7 | -172 |
| Crystal Palace | 6.60 | 11/2 | +560 |
| Draw | 4.60 | 7/2 | +360 |
Manchester United Last 5 Premier League Matches
- Everton 0 –1 Manchester United
- West Ham 1–1 Manchester United
- Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham
- Manchester United 3–2 Fulham
- Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United
Record: 4 Wins • 1 Draw • 0 Losses
Crystal Palace Last 5 Premier League Matches
- Crystal Palace 1–0 Wolves
- Crystal Palace 2–3 Burnley
- Brighton 0–1 Crystal Palace
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea
Record: 2 Wins • 1 Draw • 2 Losses
Manchester United this season statistics
Played 27
• Won 13
• Drawn 9
• Lost 5
Manchester United home form this season
Played 13
• Won 8
• Drawn 3
• Lost 2
Crystal Palace this season statistics
Played 27
• Won 9
• Drawn 8
• Lost 10
Crystal Palace away home form this season
Played 13
• Won 6
• Drawn 2
• Lost 5
Head-to-Head Last 5 Premier League Meetings
- Crystal Palace 1–2 Manchester United
- Manchester United 0–2 Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Manchester United
- Crystal Palace 4–0 Manchester United
- Manchester United 0–1 Crystal Palace
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
Manchester United goals this season
Played 27
Scored 48 • Conceded 37
- xG Scored per Match: 1.78
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.37
Manchester United home goals this season
Played 13
Scored 25 • Conceded 15
- xG Scored per Match: 1.92
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.15
Crystal Palace goals this season
Played 27
Scored 29 • Conceded 32
- xG Scored per Match: 1.07
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.19
Crystal Palace away goals this season
Played 13
Scored 15 • Conceded 14
- xG Scored per Match: 1.15
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.08
Head-to-Head Recent Goal Trends
- Crystal Palace 1–2 Manchester United
- Manchester United 0–2 Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Manchester United
- Crystal Palace 4–0 Manchester United
- Manchester United 0–1 Crystal Palace
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Predictions
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.79 | 4/5 | -127 |
| No | 2.20 | 6/5 | +120 |
Manchester United
Played: 27
Clean Sheets: 5
Failed to Score: 3
Manchester United at Old Trafford
Played: 13
Clean Sheets: 4
Failed to Score: 2
Crystal Palace
Played: 27
Clean Sheets: 10
Failed to Score: 8
Crystal Palace Away
Played: 13
Clean Sheets: 4
Failed to Score: 3
Head-to-Head BTTS Trend
- Crystal Palace 1–2 Manchester United
- Manchester United 0–2 Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Manchester United
- Crystal Palace 4–0 Manchester United
- Manchester United 0–1 Crystal Palace
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Outcome | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester United Win | 58–62% |
| Draw | 22–26% |
| Crystal Palace Win | 14–18% |
| Over 0.5 Goals | 96–98% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78–82% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52–61% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43–48% |
| BTTS – Yes | 46–50% |
| BTTS – No | 50–54% |
| Manchester United Win to Nil | 21–26% |
| Crystal Palace Win to Nil | 8–11% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester United 2–0 Crystal Palace | 53% |
| Manchester United 2–1 Crystal Palace | 41% |
| Manchester United 1–0 Crystal Palace | 37% |
| Manchester United 1–1 Crystal Palace | 34% |
| Manchester United 3–1 Crystal Palace | 31% |
| Manchester United 3–0 Crystal Palace | 49% |
| Manchester United 1-2 Crystal Palace | 8% |
| Goalless Draw (0–0) | 15% |
| Manchester United 0–1 Crystal Palace | 4% |
My Picks
| Manchester Win or Draw |
| Anytime Goalscorer – Bryan Mbeumo |
| Over 1.5 Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Final Verdict
Manchester United enter this contest with a clear structural advantage, supported by home dominance, stronger squad depth, and renewed stability under Michael Carrick. Their recent performances indicate a team capable of controlling tempo and capitalising on decisive moments, particularly at Old Trafford where attacking reliability remains high. Crystal Palace possess the tactical discipline to keep phases of the match competitive, especially through compact defensive organisation and transitional play, but their attacking inconsistency and difficulty sustaining pressure against top-tier opposition may prove limiting factors. While Palace are well-equipped to frustrate, United’s superior control, chance creation, and overall consistency position them as favourites to secure a positive result. From a probability and betting perspective, the logical lean remains Manchester United win, with expectations centred around a controlled, competitive encounter rather than a chaotic high-scoring contest.
