Manchester United head into this clash flying high under interim manager Michael Carrick, who has made an impressive start to his spell in charge. United currently sit 4th in the Premier League table, having remained unbeaten in Carrick’s first three matches.
Their most recent outing saw a dramatic 3–2 victory away to Fulham. United looked in control before Fulham equalised late on through Kevin in stoppage time (90+1). However, the drama wasn’t over, as Benjamin Šeško struck in the 90+4 minute to seal all three points for the Red Devils.
With confidence growing and Champions League qualification firmly in sight, United will be eager to continue their momentum at Old Trafford.
Tottenham Hotspur arrive after an entertaining 2–2 draw against Manchester City, showing strong character to fight back from a two-goal deficit.
Spurs were trailing 2–0 before Dominic Solanke produced an impressive second-half brace to level the match, earning a valuable point against one of the league’s strongest sides.
Despite that spirited performance, Spurs remain in a difficult position, sitting 14th in the table with 29 points, only nine points clear of the relegation zone and well off the pace for European qualification.
The last meeting between these two sides ended in a dramatic 2–2 draw at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Manchester United opened the scoring through Bryan Mbeumo in the 32nd minute. Spurs responded in the second half, with Richarlison scoring a late goal in the 90+1 minute that looked set to secure victory. However, United snatched a point deep into stoppage time when Matthijs de Ligt scored in the 90+6 minute.
This fixture brings together two sides in very different situations:
• Manchester United in strong form, pushing for a top-four finish under Carrick
• Tottenham battling inconsistency and trying to pull away from relegation danger
United’s confidence and home advantage give them the edge, but Spurs have shown recently they can respond when under pressure.
👉 Can Manchester United continue their unbeaten run at Old Trafford, or will Tottenham’s fighting spirit once again earn them a result or are we set for another dramatic draw between these two rivals?
Odds Analysis
Manchester United – 1.70
Draw – 4.50
Tottenham – 5.00
Bookmakers have installed Manchester United as clear favourites, reflecting their strong recent form and solid home performances. Spurs are priced as heavy underdogs despite having the better recent head-to-head record, while the draw remains a realistic option given both teams’ tendency to share points.
Recent Form – Manchester United
- Manchester United 3–2 Fulham
- Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United
- Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City
- Burnley 2–2 Manchester United
- Leeds 1–1 Manchester United
United are in excellent form, recording 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches. They’ve beaten top sides such as Arsenal and Manchester City and have scored in every game during this run.
👉 Confidence is very high heading into this fixture.
Recent Form – Tottenham
- Tottenham 2–2 Manchester City
- Burnley 2–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 1–2 West Ham
- Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 1–1 Sunderland
Spurs have gone five games without a win, drawing three and losing two. Their defence has looked shaky, regularly conceding goals and struggling to protect leads.
👉 Recent performances point to inconsistency and defensive weakness.
Season Performance
Manchester United
- Played: 24
- Won: 11
- Drawn: 8
- Lost: 5
United have enjoyed a solid season overall, losing just five matches. While the high number of draws shows many tight games, they remain consistent and competitive.
Manchester United – Home Record
- Played: 12
- Won: 7
- Drawn: 3
- Lost: 2
Old Trafford has been a stronghold, with United winning most of their home fixtures and rarely suffering defeats.
👉 Home advantage clearly favours United.
Tottenham Hotspur
- Played: 24
- Won: 7
- Drawn: 8
- Lost: 9
Spurs have struggled for consistency across the season, dropping too many points and falling below expectations in the table.
Tottenham – Away Record
- Played: 12
- Won: 5
- Drawn: 4
- Lost: 3
Away from home, Spurs have been relatively competitive, picking up five wins and avoiding heavy defeats in most matches.
👉 They are more resilient on the road than at home.
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Premier League Meetings)
- Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United (8 November 2025)
- Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United (16 February 2025)
- Manchester United 0–3 Tottenham (29 September 2024)
- Manchester United 2–2 Tottenham (14 January 2024)
- Tottenham 2–0 Manchester United (19 August 2023)
Tottenham are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning three and drawing two.
👉 Spurs clearly hold the recent psychological edge.
Overall Odds Verdict
- Manchester United: stronger current form + strong home record
- Tottenham: better recent head-to-head history
While Spurs have dominated recent meetings, the present form strongly favours United. Their attacking rhythm and confidence at Old Trafford make them deserved favourites.
Over/Under Goals Analysis
Manchester United – Goals Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Scored: 44
- Conceded: 36
- xG scored per match: 1.8
- xG conceded per match: 1.4
United matches average around 3.3 goals per game, showing an open and attacking style. They score freely but also concede regularly.
👉 Their games are usually entertaining with plenty of chances.
Manchester United – Home Games
- Played: 12
- Scored: 23
- Conceded: 15
- xG scored per match: 1.9
- xG conceded per match: 1.2
At Old Trafford, United continue to score consistently while their defence remains decent but not fully solid.
👉 Home fixtures strongly lean toward goal-heavy matches.
Tottenham – Goals Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Scored: 35
- Conceded: 33
- xG scored per match: 1.5
- xG conceded per match: 1.4
Spurs matches average close to 2.8 goals per game. Their defence has been inconsistent, often allowing opponents chances.
👉 Many of their games cross the 2-goal mark.
Tottenham – Away Matches
- Played: 12
- Scored: 20
- Conceded: 17
- xG scored per match: 1.6
- xG conceded per match: 1.4
Away from home, Spurs score well but concede too, leading to open contests.
👉 Away games frequently produce multiple goals.
Head-to-Head Goals Trend (Last 5 PL Matches)
- Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United (8 Nov 2025)
- Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United (16 Feb 2025)
- Manchester United 0–3 Tottenham (29 Sep 2024)
- Manchester United 2–2 Tottenham (14 Jan 2024)
- Tottenham 2–0 Manchester United (19 Aug 2023)
Key pattern:
- 4 of the last 5 matches had 2+ goals
- 3 games saw both teams score
👉 Defences often struggle in this fixture.
Over/Under Final Verdict
- Manchester United games are consistently high scoring
- Tottenham matches are open, especially away
- Head-to-head history supports goals
✅ Best Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
🔁 Safer Pick: Over 1.5 Goals
🎯 Expected Score Range
2–1, 2–2, or 3–2
Anytime Goalscorer or Assist
| Player(Goal/Assist) | Probability |
| Bryan Mbeumo 8G 1A | 34% |
| Matheus cunha 6G 2A | 32% |
| Bruno Fernandes 5G 12A | 42% |
| Richalison 7G 3A | 38% |
| Christian Romero 4G 1A | 24% |
| Joan palhinha 3G 2A | 22% |
BTTS Odds
BTTS – Yes: 1.66
BTTS – No: 2.44
Bookmakers clearly lean toward both teams finding the net — and the stats strongly support that view.
Manchester United – BTTS Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Clean sheets: 3
- Failed to score: 3
United rarely keep opponents out and almost always find the net themselves.
👉 Their matches strongly favour BTTS Yes.
Manchester United – Home Games
- Played: 12
- Clean sheets: 3
- Failed to score: 1
At Old Trafford, United score consistently and play with confidence, but their defence is far from perfect.
👉 Home matches regularly see goals at both ends.
Tottenham – BTTS Trend
Overall
- Played: 24
- Clean sheets: 7
- Failed to score: 5
Spurs are capable defensively at times but still concede often, while usually managing to score themselves.
👉 BTTS appears frequently in their matches.
Tottenham – Away Matches
- Played: 12
- Clean sheets: 4
- Failed to score: 2
Away from home, Spurs are competitive but continue to allow chances against strong teams.
👉 Their away games often support BTTS Yes.
Head-to-Head BTTS Trend (Last 5 PL Matches)
- Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United (8 Nov 2025)
- Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United (16 Feb 2025)
- Manchester United 0–3 Tottenham (29 Sep 2024)
- Manchester United 2–2 Tottenham (14 Jan 2024)
- Tottenham 2–0 Manchester United (19 Aug 2023)
BTTS happened in 3 of the last 5 meetings, and clean sheets have been rare recently.
👉 Recent encounters have been competitive and open.
BTTS Final Verdict
- Manchester United almost always score but rarely keep clean sheets
- Tottenham usually score and concede, especially away
- Head-to-head history supports goals at both ends
Probability Table
| Market / Outcome | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Manchester United Win | 58 |
| Draw | 25 |
| Tottenham Win | 17 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35 |
| BTTS – Yes | 68 |
| BTTS – No | 32 |
| Manchester United Clean Sheet | 18 |
| Tottenham Clean Sheet | 14 |
My Picks
| Pick |
|---|
| Over 1.5 Total Goals |
| Over 2.5 Total Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Final Verdict
Manchester United head into this fixture with clear momentum, strong home form, and growing confidence under Michael Carrick, making them deserved favourites at Old Trafford. Tottenham’s recent fightback against Manchester City showed character, but their overall inconsistency and defensive struggles remain a concern, especially away from home. While Spurs have proven capable of making games competitive, United’s current attacking rhythm and stability give them the edge in what should be another entertaining contest. Overall, Manchester United look well placed to take a positive result, though goals at both ends and a close scoreline remain likely.
