The last time Sunderland faced Wolves at the Stadium of Light was back in 2018, when the Black Cats stunned the eventual Championship winners 3–0. Fast forward to today, and the dynamics between the two sides have completely flipped — Wolves are struggling at the bottom of the Premier League table (20th), while newly-promoted Sunderland are impressing everyone, sitting comfortably in 9th, even above Manchester United.
Sunderland’s previous outing saw them lose 2–0 at Old Trafford. Meanwhile, Wolves could only manage a 1–1 draw against Brighton, adding more frustration to what’s been a miserable start to their campaign.
The pressure is mounting on Wolves’ manager Vitor Pereira as they continue to search for their first league win of the season, while Sunderland look confident and cohesive, especially at home under the guidance of Regis Le Bris.
If Sunderland maintain their current form and intensity, they could very well extend Wolves’ winless run and continue their dream start to the top-flight season.
KeyNotes
Last meeting: Sunderland 3–0 Wolves (2018, Championship)
Sunderland home form: Strong
Sunderland sitting 9th, Wolves 20th
Wolves: lowest goals scored in the league
Odds Analysis
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Sunderland | 2.44 |
| Draw | 3.20 |
| Wolves | 3.50 |
The bookmakers are giving a slight edge to Sunderland, and rightly so — the Black Cats have been rock solid at home this season. In their last three home matches, Sunderland are unbeaten, with results showing consistency and confidence:
✅ 3–0 win vs West Ham
✅ 2–1 win vs Brentford
🤝 1–1 draw vs Aston Villa
This impressive home form contrasts sharply with Wolves, who look completely out of rhythm and low on morale. The Molineux side have been poor both defensively and offensively, with no clear attacking structure and several defensive lapses costing them crucial points.
Given Wolves’ winless streak and Sunderland’s home dominance, the probability leans strongly toward a Sunderland win. A draw remains a secondary possibility only if Wolves manage to hold out early pressure.
👉 Prediction Edge: Sunderland are expected to take all 3 points, continuing their excellent run at the Stadium of Light.
Chances of Winning %
Over/Under Goals
Looking at the numbers — Sunderland have been compact and disciplined in defence, conceding just 6 goals, while Wolves have been extremely fragile at the back with 14 goals conceded already this season.
Despite Sunderland not being heavy scorers, their efficiency at home suggests they can break Wolves down multiple times. Wolves’ defensive shape is weak, and they often struggle to recover once they concede.
The last meeting at the Stadium of Light ended 3–0 to Sunderland, which gives more weight to a high-scoring possibility.
🔼 Over 1.5 Goals: Highly likely — both sides capable of early attacking moves.
🔼 Over 2.5 Goals: Good chance if Sunderland dominate or Wolves chase the game after conceding first.
Anytime Goalscorer
Wilson Isidor stands out clearly as the most likely scorer, being Sunderland’s focal point in attack and having a knack for getting into dangerous positions.
For Wolves, goals are scarce and spread thin — Larsen could be the wildcard if he starts.
🔥Wilson Isidor to score or assist — Highly likely.
⚠️ Strand Larsen – outside chance, worth a speculative bet if Wolves start aggressively.
| Player | G/A Probability |
|---|---|
| Wilson Isidor | ⭐ 75% |
| Strand Larsen | ⭐ 55% |
BTTS
| Market Option | Odds |
|---|---|
| BTTS – Yes | 2.10 |
| BTTS – No | 1.91 |
The odds being nearly identical show no clear market direction — bookies are as uncertain as we are. The last meeting (3–0 Sunderland) suggests a one-sided possibility, but that was seven years ago in a totally different context.
Sunderland’s home form (3 wins and 1 draw) makes it hard to see them conceding easily, while Wolves’ lack of finishing quality also supports BTTS – No being slightly favored.
📊 Verdict:
BTTS Yes – 45%
BTTS No – 55%
⚠️ Final Word:
This market is too unpredictable to bet confidently — best to skip or pair it with another safer market like Over 1.5 Goals for better value.
Head-to-Head Facts
Total Matches Played: 12
Sunderland have won 4,
Wolves have won 4, and
there have been 4 draws. aiscore.com+1
Goals Scored (Overall):
Sunderland: 20 goals
Wolves: 16 goals aiscore.com+1
Stadium Breakdown:
At Sunderland’s home (Stadium of Light): Sunderland have 4 wins, Wolves 1 win, and 1 draw in the 6 games played there. aiscore.com+1
At Wolves’ home (Molineux): Wolves have not won any of the 6 matches there; Sunderland have 3 wins and 3 draws. aiscore.com+1
Premier League Specific Record:
Of the matches counted that are in the Premier League editions of their fixtures, Sunderland have 1 win, Wolves have 4, and 1 draw. aiscore.com+1
Over-Goals Stats in H2H:
Over 1.5 goals in direct matches: ~83% (10 out of 12 matches) fctables.com+1
Over 2.5 goals in direct matches: ~66.7% (8 out of 12 matches) fctables.com+1
Crazy Historical Stats
Sunderland 5-2 Wolves (27 September 2009, Premier League) ESPN.com
A high-scoring, chaotic affair where Sunderland overwhelmed Wolves. Several goals, momentum swings, and a statement of attacking power from Sunderland in a match that remains fondly remembered by their fans. ESPN.com
Wolves 3-2 Sunderland (27 November 2010, Premier League) ESPN
Another wild game — Wolves came from behind late in the match. Sunderland were ahead but Wolves’ resilience, including an 89th-minute winner, made this one of the more dramatic comebacks in the fixture’s recent history. ESPN
Sunderland 1-3 Wolves (14 May 2011, Premier League) Sky Sports
Wolves scored two key second-half goals to snatch an away win in a fixture where Sunderland were under pressure. It was a crucial result for Wolves’ survival hopes that season, with momentum swings and tension throughout. Sky Sports
Probability Table
| Outcome / Event | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | 99% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 83% |
| Wilson Isidor – Goal or Assist | 78% |
| Strand Larsen – Goal or Assist | 63% |
| Sunderland to Win | 74% |
| Sunderland to Score | 86% |
My Picks
Sunderland to Win – Based on home form, confidence, and Wolves’ defensive weakness, Sunderland are strong favourites.
Over 1.5 Goals (Safest Pick) – With both teams’ tendencies to concede and Sunderland’s attacking threat, 2+ goals look very likely.
Over 2.5 Goals (Possible) – If Sunderland dominate early or Wolves manage to score one, this could open up to a 3+ goal match.
💡 Smart strategy: Take Over 1.5 goals pre-match, and if Wolves score first, look for Sunderland to win (live odds) for better value.
Final Verdict
Sunderland look the better side heading into this clash at the Stadium of Light. Their home form has been impressive — unbeaten so far this season — while Wolves remain winless and low on confidence. The Black Cats have shown discipline at the back and sharpness in attack, especially through Wilson Isidor, who’s been pivotal in their recent performances. Wolves, meanwhile, continue to struggle in front of goal and leak far too many at the back.
Expect Sunderland to dominate possession and create more clear chances throughout the game. Over 1.5 goals remains the safest pick, with Over 2.5 very possible if the hosts score early. Wolves might threaten occasionally, but Sunderland’s home momentum should be enough to secure all three points.
🔮 Predicted Result: Sunderland 2-0 Wolves
💰 Best Bet: Sunderland to Win ✅
⚽ Safest Pick: Over 1.5 Goals
🔥 Value Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
