West Ham United host Manchester City at the London Stadium in a crucial Premier League clash with major implications at both ends of the table. The Hammers come into this fixture after a dramatic FA Cup tie against Brentford which ended 2–2, before West Ham eventually progressed on penalties. In the league, they secured an important 1–0 victory away to Fulham in the London derby at Craven Cottage, where Crysencio Summerville scored the decisive goal in the second half.
Despite that positive result, West Ham remain firmly in the relegation battle. They currently sit 18th in the table with 28 points, level with 17th-placed Nottingham Forest but behind on goal difference. Forest hold a goal difference of –15 while West Ham sit at –19, making every point vital in the closing weeks of the season. The challenge only grows tougher for the Hammers, as they still have difficult fixtures ahead against Manchester City, Arsenal, Newcastle United, and Aston Villa.
Manchester City travel to London looking to bounce back after a disappointing midweek result in the Champions League. Pep Guardiola’s side suffered a heavy 3–0 defeat to Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu, where Federico Valverde scored a remarkable first-half hat-trick. Domestically, however, City had shown solid form prior to that loss. They defeated Newcastle United 3–1 at St James’ Park in the FA Cup last weekend, although their most recent Premier League match ended in a 2–2 draw against Nottingham Forest.
Historically, Manchester City have dominated this fixture. In 35 meetings across all competitions, City have won 28 times while West Ham have managed only two victories, with five matches ending in draws. The most recent encounter between the two sides ended in a convincing 3–0 win for City, with Erling Haaland scoring twice and Tijjani Reijnders adding the third goal.
With West Ham fighting desperately to avoid relegation and Manchester City pushing for the title while sitting second with 60 points, this clash at the London Stadium could prove significant for both sides.
Match Facts
• West Ham United: 18th | 28 points
• Manchester City: 2nd | 60 points
• Head-to-head (all competitions 35 matches):
• West Ham wins 2
• Draws 5
• Manchester City wins – 28
• Venue: London Stadium
• Referee: Michael Oliver
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 4.90 | 4/1 | +390 |
| Draw | 4.40 | 7/2 | +340 |
| Man City | 1.72 | 8/11 | -139 |
West Ham United (Last 5 PL Games)
- Fulham 0–1 West Ham
- Liverpool 5–2 West Ham
- West Ham 0–0 Bournemouth
- West Ham 1–1 Manchester United
- Burnley 0–2 West Ham
Manchester City (Last 5 PL Games)
- Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest
- Leeds 0–1 Manchester City
- Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle
- Manchester City 3–0 Fulham
- Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City
West Ham this season statistics
- 7 Wins – 7 Draws – 15 Losses
Home Record
- 3 Wins – 3 Draws – 8 Losses
Manchester City this season statistics
- 18 Wins – 6 Draws – 5 Losses
Away Record
- 7 Wins – 3 Draws – 4 Losses
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Manchester City 3–0 West Ham
- Manchester City 4–1 West Ham
- West Ham 1–3 Manchester City
- Manchester City 3–1 West Ham
- West Ham 1–3 Manchester City
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
West Ham goals this season
- 35 goals scored
- 54 goals conceded
- xG created per match 1.21
- xG conceded per match 1.86
West Ham home
- 17 goals scored
- 27 goals conceded
- xG created 1.21
- xG conceded 1.93
Manchester City goals this season
- 59 goals scored
- 27 goals conceded
- xG created per match 2.03
- xG conceded per match 0.93
Manchester City away
- 23 goals scored
- 16 goals conceded
- xG created 1.64
- xG conceded 1.14
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Manchester City 3–0 West Ham
- Manchester City 4–1 West Ham
- West Ham 1–3 Manchester City
- Manchester City 3–1 West Ham
- West Ham 1–3 Manchester City
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| West Ham | Manchester City |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | Josh Alleyne |
| Joško Gvardiol | |
| Mateo Kovačić |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.62 | 8/13 | -161 |
| No | 2.52 | 6/4 | +152 |
West Ham scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 4 in 29
- Failed to score: 9 in 29
West Ham at Home
- Clean sheets: 1 in 14
- Failed to score: 5 in 14
Manchester City scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 12 in 29
- Failed to score: 3 in 29
Manchester City Away
- Clean sheets: 4 in 14
- Failed to score: 2 in 14
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- Manchester City 3–0 West Ham
- Manchester City 4–1 West Ham
- West Ham 1–3 Manchester City
- Manchester City 3–1 West Ham
- West Ham 1–3 Manchester City
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| West Ham Win | 19% |
| Draw | 23% |
| Manchester City Win | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 32% |
| BTTS – Yes | 62% |
| BTTS – No | 38% |
| Manchester City Win to Nil | 28% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| West Ham 1–3 Man City | 19% |
| West Ham 1–2 Man City | 16% |
| West Ham 0–2 Man City | 13% |
| West Ham 2–2 Man City | 9% |
| West Ham 0–1 Man City | 8% |
| West Ham 2–3 Man City | 7% |
| West Ham 0–3 Man City | 7% |
| West Ham 1–1 Man City | 6% |
| West Ham 2–1 Man City | 5% |
| West Ham 0–0 Man City | 3% |
My Picks
| Manchester Win or Draw |
Final Verdict
The contrast in objectives and overall quality makes Manchester City clear favorites heading into this clash. While West Ham United will be highly motivated due to their relegation fight and could rely on home support to stay competitive, the gap in squad depth, attacking quality, and recent head-to-head dominance strongly favors the visitors. Manchester City are likely to control possession and dictate the tempo, forcing West Ham to defend deep and rely on counterattacks. If City manage to break through early, the game could open up quickly, making it difficult for the Hammers to contain their attacking threat. Overall, the most realistic outcome points toward a Manchester City victory, although West Ham’s urgency for survival could still make the contest intense and hard-fought.
