Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome Aston Villa to Molineux following a narrow 0–1 defeat against Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park. Wolves continue to endure a difficult campaign, with results proving hard to convert into points. Aston Villa, meanwhile, arrive after a 1–1 draw against Leeds United at Villa Park — a performance that maintained their strong league standing despite dropped points.
The most recent head-to-head meeting between these sides saw Aston Villa secure a 1–0 victory, reinforcing their ability to manage tight contests. Villa enter this fixture from a position of strength, currently sitting 3rd in the Premier League table with 51 points, while Wolves remain rooted at the bottom in 20th position with just 10 points from 28 matches.
Key Facts:
1. Across the last 22 meetings (all competitions), Wolves hold a slight historical edge with 9 wins, compared to Aston Villa’s 7 victories, alongside 6 draws.
2. Wolves have managed only one home win this season, highlighting persistent struggles at Molineux.
3. Aston Villa have earned 19 points from losing positions, the highest recovery total in the league underlining their resilience and tactical adaptability.
While Wolves may seek to frustrate and compress the game, Villa’s ability to control tempo and respond to adversity remains a decisive factor.
Can Aston Villa capitalise on Wolves’ struggles, or will the hosts produce a disciplined performance capable of disrupting Villa’s rhythm?
Match Odds Prediction
| Market | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 4.30 | 3.3/1 | +330 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 2.9/1 | +290 |
| Aston Villa | 1.94 | 0.94/1 | -106 |
Wolves Last 5 Premier League Matches
- Crystal Palace 1–0 Wolves
- Wolves 2–2 Arsenal
- Nottingham Forest 0–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–3 Chelsea
- Wolves 0-2 Bournemouth
Aston Villa Last 5 Premier League Matches
- Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds
- Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton
- Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford
- Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa
Wolves this season statistics
- Played: 28
- Won: 1
- Drawn: 7
- Lost: 20
Wolves home form this season
- Played: 14
- Won: 1
- Drawn: 3
- Lost: 10
Aston Villa this season statistics
- Played: 27
- Won: 15
- Drawn: 6
- Lost: 6
Aston Villa away form this season
- Played: 13
- Won: 6
- Drawn: 4
- Lost: 3
Head-to-Head (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- Aston Villa 1–0 Wolves
- Wolves 2–0 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 3–1 Wolves
- Aston Villa 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–1 Aston Villa
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
Wolves goals this season
- Played: 28
- Goals Scored: 18
- Goals Conceded: 51
- xG Scored per Match: 0.65
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.82
Wolves home goals this season
- Played: 14
- Goals Scored: 13
- Goals Conceded: 30
- xG Scored per Match: 0.93
- xG Conceded per Match: 2.14
Aston Villa goals this season
- Played: 27
- Goals Scored: 38
- Goals Conceded: 28
- xG Scored per Match: 1.41
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.04
Aston Villa away goals this season
- Played: 13
- Goals Scored: 18
- Goals Conceded: 17
- xG Scored per Match: 1.38
- xG Conceded per Match: 1.31
Head-to-Head Goals Pattern
- Aston Villa 1–0 Wolves
- Wolves 2–0 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 3–1 Wolves
- Aston Villa 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–1 Aston Villa
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Predictions
| Market | Odds | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 | 0.8/1 | -125 |
| No | 2.22 | 1.22/1 | +122 |
Wolves clean sheets this season
- Played: 28
- Clean Sheets: 3
- Failed to Score: 15
Wolves home clean sheets this season
- Played: 14
- Clean Sheets: 2
- Failed to Score: 6
Aston Villa clean sheets this season
- Played: 27
- Clean Sheets: 8
- Failed to Score: 8
Aston Villa away clean sheets this season
- Played: 13
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Failed to Score: 4
Head-to-Head BTTS Pattern
Recent meetings:
- Aston Villa 1–0 Wolves
- Wolves 2–0 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 3–1 Wolves
- Aston Villa 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–1 Aston Villa
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Outcome | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa Win | ~58–62% |
| Draw | ~23–26% |
| Wolves Win | ~14–17% |
| Over 0.5 Goals | ~93–95% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | ~69–73% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | ~42–47% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | ~53–58% |
| BTTS – Yes | ~41–45% |
| BTTS – No | ~55–59% |
| Aston Villa Win to Nil | ~24–28% |
| Wolves Win to Nil | ~5–7% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Wolves 0–1 Aston Villa | 58–62% |
| Wolves 0–2 Aston Villa | 48–59% |
| Wolves 1–1 Aston Villa | 68–75% |
| Wolves 1–2 Aston Villa | 39–52% |
| Wolves 0–0 Aston Villa | 67–69% |
| Wolves 1–0 Aston Villa | 46–57% |
| Wolves 2–1 Aston Villa | 33–45% |
| Wolves 0–3 Aston Villa | 45–55% |
| (3–2 / 2–3 Combined) | 27–34% |
My Picks
| Aston Villa Win or Draw |
Final Verdict
All indicators point toward an Aston Villa-favoured outcome at Molineux. Villa’s structural stability, defensive discipline, and proven ability to manage tight matches provide a clear edge over a Wolves side struggling for consistency and attacking efficiency. While Wolves’ survival urgency and home setting may contribute to a more compact, defensive contest, their limited scoring reliability significantly reduces the likelihood of sustained pressure against Villa’s organised approach. From a prediction and betting perspective, logical considerations include Aston Villa win or draw (safer angle), and Under goals markets, depending on risk appetite. Overall, the fixture profile leans toward a controlled Villa performance, with Wolves’ resistance likely shaping a competitive but Villa-dominant encounter.
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