Wolverhampton Wanderers return to Molineux after a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Aston Villa, only their second league win of the season, but the scale of their overall struggles cannot be ignored. Sitting bottom of the table, Wolves have found consistency almost impossible to maintain, particularly defensively at home. The managerial change from Vitor Pereira to Rob Edwards was meant to spark revival, yet the numbers suggest the challenge is far deeper than a change in leadership. Confidence may improve after the Villa result, but survival will demand a sustained run of performances that they have not shown across 29 matches.
Liverpool arrive with very different ambitions. After dismantling West Ham 5-2 at Anfield, they continue their pursuit of a top-four finish, trailing Aston Villa by just three points. Their attacking depth and midfield control have consistently overwhelmed lower-ranked sides, and historically this fixture has heavily favored them. Even away from home, Liverpool possess enough quality and game management to exploit Wolves’ defensive frailties. While desperation can sometimes fuel unexpected performances, structural weaknesses and a significant points gap make this a daunting test for the hosts.
Can Wolves avoid relegation?
Realistically, Wolves’ relegation battle looks increasingly bleak. Averaging just 0.45 points per game, they would require a dramatic turnaround to reach the typical survival mark near the mid-30s. That means multiple wins against stronger opposition and near-perfect results in six-pointer clashes something their season trend does not currently support.
Match Facts
• Liverpool: 5th place – 48 points
• Wolves: 20th place – 13 points
• In the last 23 H2H meetings (all competitions):
• Liverpool wins: 18
• Wolves wins: 4
• Draws: 1
• Last 11 H2H matches at Molineux: none ended 0-0
• Wolves have conceded 30 home goals this season the most in the league
• Points difference to safety rivals: 6 to Burnley, 12 to West Ham
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 7.8 | 13/2 | +680 |
| Draw | 5.5 | 9/2 | +450 |
| Liverpool | 1.44 | 4/9 | -227 |
Wolves (Last 5 PL Games)
- 2–0 vs Aston Villa
- 0–1 vs Crystal Palace
- 2–2 vs Arsenal
- 0–0 vs Nottingham Forest
- 1–3 vs Chelsea F.C.
Liverpool (Last 5 PL Games)
- 5–2 vs West Ham United
- 1–0 vs Nottingham Forest
- 1–0 vs Sunderland AFC
- 1–2 vs Manchester City
- 4–1 vs Newcastle United
Wolves this season statistics
- 29 played: 2W – 7D – 20L
Wolves at Molineux
- 15 played: 2W – 3D – 10L
Liverpool this season statistics
- 28 played: 14W – 6D – 8L
Liverpool away
- 14 played: 6W – 3D – 5L
Head-to-Head (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- Liverpool 2–1 Wolves
- Liverpool 2–1 Wolves
- Wolves 1–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–3 Liverpool
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
Wolves goals this season
Overall (29 Games)
- Scored: 20 (0.69 per game)
- Conceded: 51 (1.76 per game)
- xG scored: 0.69
- xG conceded: 1.76
Wolves at Home (15 Games)
- Scored: 15 (1.00 per game)
- Conceded: 30 (2.00 per game)
- xG conceded: ~2.00
Liverpool goals this season
- Scored: 47 (1.68 per game)
- Conceded: 37 (1.32 per game)
- Combined average: 3.0 goals per match
Liverpool Away (14 Games)
- Scored: 21 (1.50 per game)
- Conceded: 21 (1.50 per game)
Head-to-Head (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- Liverpool 2–1 Wolves
- Liverpool 2–1 Wolves
- Wolves 1–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–3 Liverpool
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Wolves | Liverpool |
|---|---|
| André (injured) | Conor Bradley (injured) |
| Leoni (injured) | Stefan Bajčetić (injured) |
| Hwang Hee-chan (injured) | Wataru Endō (injured) |
| Alexander Isak (injured) | |
| Florian Wirtz (injured) |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Predictions
| Market | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 | 5/6 | -120 |
| No | 2.18 | 6/5 | +118 |
Wolves BTTS Profile Overall (29 Matches)
- Clean sheets: 4
- Failed to score: 15
At Home (15 Matches)
- Clean sheets: 3
- Failed to score: 6
Liverpool BTTS Profile Overall (28 Matches)
- Clean sheets: 9
- Failed to score: 4
Away (14 Matches)
- Clean sheets: 3
- Failed to score: 1
Head-to-Head Trend
- Liverpool 2–1 Wolves
- Liverpool 2–1 Wolves
- Wolves 1–2 Liverpool
- Liverpool 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 1–3 Liverpool
BTTS landed in 4 of last 5.
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market / Selection | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 70% |
| Draw | 18% |
| Wolves Win | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 40% |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% |
| BTTS – Yes | 52% |
| BTTS – No | 48% |
| Liverpool & Over 2.5 | 46% |
| Liverpool & BTTS Yes | 36% |
| Liverpool Win to Nil | 34% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wolves 0–2 Liverpool | 38% |
| Wolves 1–2 Liverpool | 46% |
| Wolves 0–1 Liverpool | 43% |
| Wolves 1–3 Liverpool | 22% |
| Wolves 0–3 Liverpool | 39% |
| Wolves 1–1 Liverpool | 58% |
| Wolves 2–2 Liverpool | 36% |
| Wolves 1–0 Liverpool | 15% |
| Wolves 2–1 Liverpool | 4% |
My Picks
| Liverpool Win or Draw |
| Over 1.5 Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Final Verdict
All indicators point toward Liverpool holding a decisive advantage in this fixture. While Wolves may draw short-term confidence from their recent win over Aston Villa, their broader season trajectory defensive instability, poor home record, and minimal points return suggests structural issues that a single result cannot erase. Liverpool, by contrast, remain motivated by the race for European qualification and have consistently demonstrated the attacking quality and game control required to dispatch struggling sides. Given the significant gap in consistency, squad depth, and historical dominance in this matchup, the most probable outcome is a controlled Liverpool victory. Wolves’ urgency may produce moments of resistance, but over ninety minutes, Liverpool’s superior organization and finishing power should prove decisive.
