In a high-pressure midweek Premier League clash, Tottenham Hotspur will host Newcastle United at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as both sides look to halt worrying runs of form.
Tottenham enter this fixture dealing with a growing injury and suspension crisis. Head coach Thomas Frank will be without key centre-back Cristian Romero, who is suspended after receiving a red card in the previous league defeat against Manchester United at Old Trafford. Spurs were beaten 2–0 in that match and now find themselves slipping dangerously down the table, sitting 15th, far below expectations at this stage of the season.
Newcastle’s situation is only marginally better. Eddie Howe’s side suffered a disappointing 3–2 home loss to Brentford in their last outing, exposing familiar defensive issues. The Magpies currently sit 12th in the Premier League, struggling for consistency and momentum after a demanding campaign across multiple competitions.
The most recent head-to-head between these two sides ended in a dramatic 2–2 draw, with all four goals scored after the 70th minute, underlining how unpredictable this fixture can be. Late goals, tactical gambles, and defensive lapses have often defined recent meetings between Spurs and Newcastle.
With Tottenham under pressure from below and Newcastle eager to avoid drifting further into mid-table obscurity, this match carries real significance. Can Spurs overcome their absentees and rediscover some home dominance, or will Newcastle take advantage of Tottenham’s vulnerability and snatch all three points in North London?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United Key Points
• No goalless history: Across the last 33 head-to-head meetings in all competitions, this fixture has never ended 0–0, highlighting a strong trend for goals whenever Spurs and Newcastle face off.
• Spurs’ home struggles: This season, Tottenham have won only 2 of their 12 home league games, drawing 2 and losing 6, underlining how unreliable they have been at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
• Newcastle’s game-management issues: Newcastle have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side this season, a recurring problem that has cost Eddie Howe’s team valuable results.
Match Odds Prediction
- Tottenham: 3.30
- Newcastle: 2.30
- Draw: 3.70
Tottenham Hotspur last 5 premier league games
- Man United 2–0 Tottenham
- Tottenham 2–2 Man City
- Burnley 2–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 1–2 West Ham
- Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham
Form: 0 Wins | 2 Draws | 3 Losses
Newcastle United last 5 premier league games
- Newcastle 2–3 Brentford
- Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle
- Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa
- Wolves 0–0 Newcastle
- Newcastle 4–3 Leeds
Form: 1 Win | 1 Draw | 3 Losses
Tottenham Hotspur season statistics
- Played: 25
- Won: 7 | Drawn: 8 | Lost: 10
Tottenham Hotspur Home Record
- Played 12 | Won 2 | Drawn 4 | Lost 6
Newcastle United season statistics
- Played: 25
- Won: 9 | Drawn: 6 | Lost: 10
Newcastle United Away Record
- Played 12 | Won 2 | Drawn 4 | Lost 6
Head-to-Head (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham (Dec 2025)
- Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle (Jan 2025)
- Newcastle 2–1 Tottenham (Sept 2024)
- Newcastle 4–0 Tottenham (Apr 2024)
- Tottenham 4–1 Newcastle (Dec 2023)
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United Xg Statistics
Tottenham Hotspur goals this season
- Played: 25
- Scored: 35
- Conceded: 35
- xG For: ~1.40 per match
- xG Against: ~1.40 per match
Tottenham Hotspur home xg this season
- Played: 12
- Scored: 15
- Conceded: 16
- xG For: ~1.25
- xG Against: ~1.33
Newcastle United xg this season
- Played: 25
- Scored: 35
- Conceded: 36
- xG For: ~1.40
- xG Against: ~1.44
Newcastle United away xg this season
- Played: 12
- Scored: 11
- Conceded: 16
- xG For: ~0.92
- xG Against: ~1.33
Head-to-Head Goals (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- 2–2
- 2–1
- 2–1
- 4–0
- 4–1
Over/Under Goals Prediction:
- 4 of the last 5 meetings went Over 2.5 goals
- Both teams usually score
- Both teams average ~1.4 goals scored and conceded
- Defences are unreliable on both sides
- H2H strongly supports goals
Anytime Goalscorer Prediction
| Player (Goals / Assists) | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Dominic Solanke (2G, 0A) | 45% |
| Xavi Simons (1G, 4A) | 20% |
| Bruno Guimarães (9G, 4A) | 40% |
| Nick Woltemade (7G, 2A) | 48% |
| Harvey Barnes (5G, 0A) | 28% |
Both team to score prediction
- BTTS – Yes: 1.60
- BTTS – No: 2.62
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheets this season
- Played: 25
- Clean sheets: 7
- Failed to score: 5
Tottenham Hotspur at home
- Played: 12
- Clean sheets: 2
- Failed to score: 2
Newcastle United clean sheets this season
- Played: 25
- Clean sheets: 7
- Failed to score: 7
Newcastle United Away
- Played: 12
- Clean sheets: 0
- Failed to score: 6
Head-to-Head (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham – BTTS – Yes
- Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle – BTTS – Yes
- Newcastle 2–1 Tottenham – BTTS – Yes
- Newcastle 4–0 Tottenham – BTTS – No
- Tottenham 4–1 Newcastle – BTTS – Yes
Four of the last five meetings produced 3+ goals, and four featured goals from both sides.
📌 BTTS Prediction
- Tottenham usually score, especially at home
- Newcastle concede heavily away from home
- H2H history strongly favours open, high-scoring games
BTTS Probability: Yes 70%
West Ham United vs Manchester United Win Probability
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur Win | 30% |
| Draw | 27% |
| Newcastle United Win | 43% |
| Tottenham Win or Draw (1X) | 57% |
| Newcastle Win or Draw (X2) | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% |
| BTTS – Yes | 65–70% |
| BTTS – No | 30–35% |
| Tottenham to Score | 75% |
| Newcastle to Score | 65% |
My Picks
| Over 1.5 Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United Final Verdict
All signs point toward another open, nerve-shredding contest rather than a controlled tactical battle. Tottenham’s poor home form and defensive absences make it hard to trust them to dominate, while Newcastle’s inability to protect leads means they rarely finish games cleanly. With a long history of goals in this fixture, late drama in recent meetings, and both sides carrying clear defensive weaknesses, this matchup strongly leans toward goals at both ends. Newcastle may have a slight edge in overall balance, but Spurs’ home urgency should keep them competitive making a score draw or a narrow away result the most realistic outcomes, with BTTS and over goals markets looking safer than picking a clear winner.
