Nottingham Forest welcome Wolves to the City Ground in a crucial relegation six-pointer, and this English Premier League prediction focuses on pressure, momentum, and head-to-head balance.
Forest sit just two points above the relegation zone, so this is far from comfortable territory. Meanwhile, Wolves remain bottom of the table with only eight points and just one league win all season a win over West Ham at Molineux. Both sides come into this clash off defeats: Forest lost 3–1 away to Leeds, while Wolves were beaten 3–1 at home by Chelsea.
The last meeting between the two ended in a 0–1 Forest victory at Molineux, decided by Igor Jesus in the 72nd minute a reminder that Forest have recently handled this fixture well.
Key Historical Insights
• In the last 18 head-to-head meetings (all competitions):
• Draws: 7
• Wolves wins: 6
• Forest wins: 5
• In the last 5 Premier League meetings, Forest are unbeaten:
• 2 wins
• 3 draws
Recent top-flight history slightly favours Nottingham Forest.
Tactical & Form Insight
Forest at home will likely play with urgency, knowing that three points could create breathing space from relegation danger. Wolves, however, have struggled badly defensively this season and often concede first which forces them into chasing games.
The key question for this English Premier League prediction is whether Wolves can stay compact early. If Forest score first, the game could open up quickly.
Verdict Lean
• Forest have recent H2H advantage
• Wolves struggle away from home
• Both teams under pressure
Forest hold the slight edge due to home advantage and recent league dominance in this fixture, but given the historical number of draws, a tight game cannot be ruled out.
Match Odds Prediction
- Nottingham Forest: 1.75
- Draw: 4.00
- Wolves: 5.50
The bookmakers clearly favour Nottingham Forest, reflecting Wolves’ severe struggles this season and particularly poor away record.
Nottingham Forest Last 5 Premier League Matches
- Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace
- Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal
- West Ham 1–2 Nottingham Forest
Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.
They’ve shown decent attacking reliability, scoring in four of those matches, while also demonstrating defensive discipline against stronger opponents like Arsenal.
Wolves Last 5 Premier League Matches
- Wolves 1–3 Chelsea
- Wolves 0–2 Bournemouth
- Manchester City 2–0 Wolves
- Wolves 0–0 Newcastle
- Everton 1–1 Wolves
Wolves remain winless with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.
A recurring issue is their inability to score consistently, alongside defensive weaknesses against organised attacks.
Nottingham Forest this season statistics (25 Matches)
- Wins: 7
- Draws: 5
- Losses: 13
Forest’s season has been difficult, but recent performances suggest improvement compared to earlier instability.
Nottingham Forest home form this season
- Played: 12
- Wins: 3
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 6
Forest have been inconsistent at the City Ground.
While not dominant, they remain capable of grinding out results.
Wolves this season statistics (25 Matches)
- Wins: 1
- Draws: 5
- Losses: 19
Wolves’ numbers highlight relegation-level form.
Both defensive fragility and limited attacking output continue to hurt them.
Wolves Away form this season
- Played: 12
- Wins: 0
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 9
Wolves have not won a single away match, making road fixtures a major weakness.
Head-to-Head (Last 5 PL Meetings)
- Wolves 0–1 Nottingham Forest
- Wolves 0–3 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Wolves
- Nottingham Forest 2–2 Wolves
- Wolves 1–1 Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest are unbeaten:
2 wins
3 draws
0 Wolves wins
Overall Odds Verdict
Key factors supporting Nottingham Forest:
Wolves’ extremely poor away form
Better recent momentum
Positive H2H record
Wolves’ scoring problems
Best Lean: Nottingham Forest Win (1.75)
Safer Option: Nottingham Forest Win or Draw (1X)
Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Xg Statistics
Nottingham Forest Goals This Season
- Played: 25
- Scored: 25
- Conceded: 38
- xG (Scored): ~1.00 per match
- xG (Conceded): ~1.52 per match
Forest’s numbers suggest a moderate-scoring profile.
They are not explosive in attack but regularly allow chances defensively.
Nottingham Forest Home Goals This Season
- Played: 12
- Scored: 13 (≈1.08 per game)
- Conceded: 18 (≈1.50 per game)
- xG Trend: Balanced, slightly open
Home matches tend to produce steady goal output, without extreme totals.
Wolves Goals This Season
- Played: 25
- Scored: 16
- Conceded: 48
- xG (Scored): ~0.64 per match
- xG (Conceded): ~1.92 per match
Wolves show major attacking weakness and defensive instability.
Wolves Away Goals This Season
- Played: 12
- Scored: 5 (≈0.42 per game)
- Conceded: 20 (≈1.67 per game)
- xG Trend: Very limited attack
Away matches especially highlight Wolves’ scoring struggles.
Head-to-Head Goals Trend
Recent results:
- 0–1
- 0–3
- 1–1
- 2–2
- 1–1
Mostly low-to-medium scoring
Few high-goal outliers
Consistent tight contests
H2H leans toward controlled totals rather than shootouts
Over / Under Goals Prediction
Wolves’ extremely weak attack (especially away)
Forest’s moderate scoring rate
H2H history of tight games
No strong evidence for goal explosions
Best Pick: Over 1.5 Goals (Strong Probability)
Over 2.5 Goals: Possible but not dominant value
Anytime Goalscorer Prediction
| Player (Goals / Assists) | Probability |
|---|---|
| Santiago Bueno (2G / 0A) | 15% |
| Mateus Mané (2G / 1A) | 17% |
| Ladislav Krejčí (2G / 1A) | 18% |
| Ibrahim Sangaré (2G / 2A) | 20% |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi (3G / 1A) | 25% |
| Morgan Gibbs-White (8G / 2A) | 35% |
Both team to score prediction
- Yes 1.9
- No 2.06
Nottingham Forest clean sheets this season
- Played: 25
- Clean Sheets: 5
- Failed to Score: 11
Nottingham Forest home clean sheets this season
- Played: 12
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Failed to Score: 5
Wolves clean sheets this season
- Played: 25
- Clean Sheets: 2
- Failed to Score: 12
Wolves away clean sheets this season
- Played: 12
- Clean Sheets: 0
- Failed to Score: 7
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Premier League Meetings)
- Wolves 0–1 Nottingham Forest – BTTS – No
- Wolves 0–3 Nottingham Forest – BTTS – No
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Wolves – BTTS – Yes
- Nottingham Forest 2–2 Wolves – BTTS – Yes
- Wolves 1–1 Nottingham Forest – BTTS – Yes
- Nottingham Forest unbeaten in recent meetings.
- Wolves have failed to win any of these encounters.
- Majority of matches were tight and moderately scored.
- 3/5 matches saw BTTS Yes
- Goals typically remain in the low-to-medium range
👉 BTTS – Slightly Leaning YES
👉 Risk Level: Medium
- Forest are more likely to score at home
- Wolves likely to concede
- The key uncertainty Wolves’ attacking output
Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Win Probability
| Outcome / Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest Win | 48% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Wolves Win | 22% |
| Double Chance – Forest or Draw (1X) | 78% |
| Over 0.5 Goals | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% |
| BTTS – YES | 55% |
| BTTS – NO | 45% |
| Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet | 36% |
| Wolves Clean Sheet | 12% |
My Picks
| Nottingham Forest Win or Draw (Double Chance) |
| Over 1.5 Goals |
Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Final Verdict
Nottingham Forest appear to hold the clearer advantage heading into this clash, making them the more convincing side in this English Premier League prediction. The combination of home advantage at the City Ground, Wolves’ persistent defensive struggles, and Forest’s recent head-to-head resilience slightly tilts the balance in favour of the hosts. Wolves’ difficulty in managing games away from home, particularly their tendency to concede early, could once again prove decisive if Forest apply pressure from the start. However, with both teams operating under significant relegation pressure, the contest is unlikely to be comfortable or one-sided. A tense, competitive match is expected, where Forest look best positioned to secure points, while a low-margin result or draw remains a realistic scenario.
Tags: English Premier League prediction, Nottingham Forest vs Wolves prediction, Premier League Matchweek analysis, EPL betting tips, Premier League relegation battle prediction, City Ground preview.
