Fulham host West Ham United at Craven Cottage in what promises to be an intense London derby. Fulham come into this clash with confidence after securing a 2–1 victory over Tottenham in their last London derby, a result that highlighted their ability to compete strongly against high-quality opposition. Their season has been relatively stable, with the club sitting comfortably in mid-table and showing solid attacking output at home.
West Ham, meanwhile, arrive under pressure after a heavy 5–2 defeat against Liverpool at Anfield. Defensive fragility has been a recurring issue this season, and the Hammers find themselves in the relegation zone heading into this crucial derby. The last meeting between the two sides ended in a narrow 1–0 win for Fulham, with Raúl Jiménez scoring the decisive goal in the 85th minute. That result continued Fulham’s recent positive trend in this matchup.
Will West Ham Be Relegated This Season?
West Ham’s situation is becoming increasingly complicated. They still have difficult fixtures ahead against teams such as Manchester City, Arsenal FC, Newcastle United, and Aston Villa. Collecting points against these sides will be extremely challenging. However, survival is still possible because other teams in the relegation battle also face similarly difficult schedules. The margin for error is now very small, meaning West Ham must start picking up points quickly if they want to remain in the Premier League.
Match Facts
• Fulham – 10th place – 40 points
• West Ham – 18th place – 25 points
• Referee – Matt Donohue
• Venue – Craven Cottage
Match Odds Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 2.14 | 23/20 | +114 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 11/4 | +270 |
| West Ham | 3.65 | 13/5 | +265 |
Fulham (Last 5 PL Games)
- Fulham 2–1 Tottenham
- Sunderland 1–3 Fulham
- Manchester City 3–0 Fulham
- Fulham 1–2 Everton
- Manchester United 3–2 Fulham
West Ham (Last 5 PL Games)
- Liverpool 5–2 West Ham
- West Ham 0–0 Bournemouth
- West Ham 1–1 Manchester United
- Burnley 0–2 West Ham
- Chelsea 3–2 West Ham
Fulham this season statistics
- 12 Wins – 4 Draws – 12 Losses
Home Record
- 8 Wins – 2 Draws – 4 Losses
West Ham this season statistics
- 6 Wins – 7 Draws – 15 Losses
Away Record
- 3 Wins – 4 Draws – 7 Losses
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- West Ham 0–1 Fulham
- West Ham 3–2 Fulham
- Fulham 1–1 West Ham
- West Ham 0–2 Fulham
- Fulham 5–0 West Ham
Win Probability
Over/Under Goals Predictions
Fulham goals this season
- 40 goals scored
- 42 goals conceded
- xG created per match ≈ 1.43
- xG conceded per match ≈ 1.50
Fulham at Home goals this season
- 24 goals scored
- 17 goals conceded
- xG created ≈ 1.71
- xG conceded ≈ 1.2
West Ham goals this season
- 34 goals scored
- 54 goals conceded
- xG created per match ≈ 1.21
- xG conceded per match ≈ 1.93
West Ham Away goals this season
- 17 goals scored
- 27 goals conceded
- xG created ≈ 1.21
- xG conceded ≈ 1.93
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- West Ham 0–1 Fulham
- West Ham 3–2 Fulham
- Fulham 1–1 West Ham
- West Ham 0–2 Fulham
- Fulham 5–0 West Ham
Over/Under Goals Probability %
Anytime Goalscorer Probability %
Unavailable / Injured Players
| Fulham | West Ham |
|---|---|
| Callum Wilson (Doubtful) | Freddie Potts (Suspended) |
| Saša Lukić (Doubtful) | Pablo |
| Kevin |
Both Team To Score (BTTS) Prediction
| Outcome | Decimal | Fraction | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 | 8/13 | -159 |
| No | 2.50 | 6/4 | +150 |
Fulham scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 5 in 28
- Failed to score: 5 in 28
Fulham at home
- Clean sheets: 3 in 14
- Failed to score: 1 in 14
West Ham scoring & clean sheet
- Clean sheets: 3 in 28
- Failed to score: 9 in 28
West Ham away
- Clean sheets: 2 in 14
- Failed to score: 4 in 14
Head-to-Head (Last 5 EPL)
- West Ham 0–1 Fulham
- West Ham 3–2 Fulham
- Fulham 1–1 West Ham
- West Ham 0–2 Fulham
- Fulham 5–0 West Ham
BTTS Probability %
Probability Table
| Market | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham Win | 47% |
| Draw | 26% |
| West Ham Win | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% |
| BTTS – Yes | 63% |
| BTTS – No | 37% |
Correct Score Probability
| Correct Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham 2–1 West Ham | 38% |
| Fulham 1–1 West Ham | 44% |
| Fulham 2–2 West Ham | 12% |
| Fulham 1–2 West Ham | 19% |
| Fulham 1–0 West Ham | 28% |
| Fulham 3–1 West Ham | 17% |
| Fulham 0–1 West Ham | 6% |
| Fulham 2–0 West Ham | 26% |
| Fulham 3–2 West Ham | 5% |
| Fulham 0–0 West Ham | 14% |
My Picks
| Over 1.5 Goals |
| BTTS – Yes |
Final Verdict
This London derby appears to lean toward Fulham FC, particularly given their strong home performances at Craven Cottage and the confidence gained from their recent victory over Tottenham. West Ham United remain dangerous going forward, but their defensive instability throughout the season makes it difficult to rely on them in a high-pressure away match. Fulham’s attacking consistency at home combined with West Ham’s struggles on the road suggests the hosts should have the edge. The Hammers may still find chances in what is typically a competitive derby, but unless they show immediate defensive improvement, Fulham look the more likely side to take points in a closely contested encounter.
