Ipswich Town vs Sunderland AFC Match Prediction & Win Probability

Preview

Ipswich Town and Sunderland meet at Portman Road on Saturday, August 22, in one of the more interesting fixtures of the opening Premier League weekend.

Ipswich finished second in the Championship last season, while Sunderland enjoyed an excellent return to the top flight in Premier League, finishing seventh and qualifying for the Europa League.

Ipswich Town Match Preview

Ipswich finishing second in the Championship with 84 points last season. Their previous Premier League campaign ended in relegation, so the club will be determined to avoid another difficult season in the top flight.

There has also been a major change in the dugout. Gary O’Neil is now in charge after Kieran McKenna’s departure, giving Ipswich a different approach heading into their return to the Premier League.

Jack Clarke will be one of the players to watch. The winger was Ipswich’s most productive route to goal, while Marcelino Núñez also had an important creative role after creating 68 chances and providing seven assists.

Playing at Portman Road could also be important. Ipswich will want to start the season positively, particularly against another newly promoted side.

Sunderland Match Preview

Sunderland were one of the surprise stories of the Premier League last season. After winning promotion, the Black Cats finished seventh in their first season back in the top flight and earned a place in the Europa League. Regis Le Bris’ team showed that they were capable of competing against established Premier League clubs, and they will now try to build on that success.

Sunderland have also added experience to their midfield, with Granit Xhaka among the players expected to play an important role. Up front, Brian Brobbey is a player Ipswich will need to watch closely. He scored seven league goals last season and gives Sunderland a physical presence in attack. He also scored in Sunderland’s final pre-season match against Rennes.

The main challenge for Sunderland will be managing the demands of a new season that includes European football.

Win Probability
Ipswich Town35.2%

Sunderland35.7%

Match Details
Fixture: Ipswich Town vs Sunderland
Competition: Premier League – Round 01
Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
Time: 15:00 BST
Venue: Portman Road
Ipswich Town Manager: Gary O’Neil
Sunderland Manager: Regis Le Bris
Referee: Farai Hallam

Match Odds
OutcomeDecimal FractionAmerican
Ipswich Town2.8446/25184
Draw3.412/5240
Sunderland2.89/5180

Predicted Line Up
Ipswich Town Formation 4-2-3-1
Sunderland Formation 4-2-3-1

Over/Under Goals Odds & Probability
MarketDecimal FractionAmerican
Over 0.5 1.082/25-1250
Over 1.51.3417/50-294.1
Over 2.5 2.0653/50106
Over 0.5 Goals80.2%
Over 1.5 Goals51.7%
Over 2.5 Goals41.5%

Anytime Goalscorer Probability
Ipswich Town Goalscorer Predictions
Daizen Maeda30.4%
Jack Clarke21.7%
Sunderland Goalscorer Predictions
Brian Brobbey38.2%
Enzo Le Fée19.4%
Goalscorer to Watch:

Jack Clarke – Ipswich Town
Jack Clarke looks like the standout goalscoring threat for Ipswich. The winger scored 16 goals last season, making him the club’s leading scorer. He also managed 24 shots on target, showing that he was not simply scoring from limited chances. Clarke’s ability to attack from wide areas could cause problems for Sunderland, particularly if Ipswich are able to give him space to run at the defence.

Brian Brobbey – Sunderland
Brian Brobbey is the main player to watch for Sunderland. The striker provides Sunderland with a strong physical presence in the final third. Ipswich’s defenders will need to be careful when Brobbey receives the ball inside the penalty area. Sunderland could look to use his strength and movement when attacking on the counter.


Both Team To Score (BTTS) Probability & Odds
MarketDecimal FractionAmerican
Yes1.84/5-125
No2.1859/50118
BTTS – YES55.6%
BTTS – NO47.2%

Ipswich Town vs Sunderland Prediction

This is one of the harder games to predict on the opening weekend. Ipswich have home advantage and will be desperate to make a good start, while Sunderland arrive with the confidence of a seventh-place Premier League finish last season.

Ipswich should have enough attacking quality to create chances, but Sunderland have shown that they can compete at this level. A close game looks more likely than a comfortable win for either side.

Prediction: Ipswich Town 1-1 Sunderland


My Picks
PicksConfidence
Over 0.5 GoalsHigh
Over 1.5 GoalsMedium

Tip: If the match is 0-0 at half-time, consider Over 1.5 Goals in the second half at the higher odds, as the game could open up after the break.